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icon for 德州鐵路局長選舉勝利者

德州鐵路局長選舉勝利者

icon for 德州鐵路局長選舉勝利者

德州鐵路局長選舉勝利者

Polymarket
最新
Polymarket
最新
icon for Bo French(共和黨)

Bo French(共和黨)

$40 交易量

64%

icon for Jon Rosenthal(民主黨)

Jon Rosenthal(民主黨)

$25 交易量

37%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Bo French holds a lead in the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner race due to strong Republican primary support and the state's longstanding GOP advantage in statewide contests, though recent controversy has narrowed trader expectations of a decisive victory. French defeated incumbent Jim Wright in the May runoff after emphasizing cultural issues alongside energy regulation, overcoming opposition from Gov. Greg Abbott and Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick. Democrat Jon Rosenthal, a state representative and former oil-field engineer, has highlighted technical expertise on grid reliability and permitting but trails in fundraising and faces structural barriers in a Republican-leaning electorate. A September social media post by French drew swift Republican criticism for perceived racism, prompting some party figures to question his candidacy and boosting Rosenthal's recent small-dollar donations and visibility. Libertarian Arthur DiBianca remains a minor factor. High undecided shares in late-summer polling underscore uncertainty heading into November.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
交易量
$65
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Bo French holds a lead in the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner race due to strong Republican primary support and the state's longstanding GOP advantage in statewide contests, though recent controversy has narrowed trader expectations of a decisive victory. French defeated incumbent Jim Wright in the May runoff after emphasizing cultural issues alongside energy regulation, overcoming opposition from Gov. Greg Abbott and Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick. Democrat Jon Rosenthal, a state representative and former oil-field engineer, has highlighted technical expertise on grid reliability and permitting but trails in fundraising and faces structural barriers in a Republican-leaning electorate. A September social media post by French drew swift Republican criticism for perceived racism, prompting some party figures to question his candidacy and boosting Rosenthal's recent small-dollar donations and visibility. Libertarian Arthur DiBianca remains a minor factor. High undecided shares in late-summer polling underscore uncertainty heading into November.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
交易量
$65
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"德州鐵路局長選舉勝利者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bo French(共和黨)" at 64%, followed by "Jon Rosenthal(民主黨)" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"德州鐵路局長選舉勝利者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "德州鐵路局長選舉勝利者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "德州鐵路局長選舉勝利者" is "Bo French(共和黨)" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jon Rosenthal(民主黨)" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "德州鐵路局長選舉勝利者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.