Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee's age centers on the 55-64 range at 40 percent, driven by frontrunners such as Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro alongside other governors and senators in that bracket who combine executive experience with broad appeal. The 45-54 band at 28 percent and under-45 category at 21.5 percent reflect momentum for figures like Pete Buttigieg, Wes Moore, Jon Ossoff, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, fueled by party interest in generational turnover after 2024 and strong polling or market positioning for these younger contenders. Recent speculation through mid-2026 shows a crowded field with no established favorite, elevating younger candidates' visibility while structural factors like Senate and gubernatorial records sustain support for mid-career options. Older brackets remain limited as few prominent names exceed age 65 in current discussions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於55-64 40%
45至54歲 28%
45歲以下 22%
75至84歲 10%
45歲以下
22%
45至54歲
28%
55-64
40%
65-74歲
2%
75至84歲
10%
85歲以上
4%
55-64 40%
45至54歲 28%
45歲以下 22%
75至84歲 10%
45歲以下
22%
45至54歲
28%
55-64
40%
65-74歲
2%
75至84歲
10%
85歲以上
4%
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
市場開放時間: Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee's age centers on the 55-64 range at 40 percent, driven by frontrunners such as Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro alongside other governors and senators in that bracket who combine executive experience with broad appeal. The 45-54 band at 28 percent and under-45 category at 21.5 percent reflect momentum for figures like Pete Buttigieg, Wes Moore, Jon Ossoff, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, fueled by party interest in generational turnover after 2024 and strong polling or market positioning for these younger contenders. Recent speculation through mid-2026 shows a crowded field with no established favorite, elevating younger candidates' visibility while structural factors like Senate and gubernatorial records sustain support for mid-career options. Older brackets remain limited as few prominent names exceed age 65 in current discussions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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