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icon for 2028年民主黨總統候選人年齡?

2028年民主黨總統候選人年齡?

icon for 2028年民主黨總統候選人年齡?

2028年民主黨總統候選人年齡?

55-64 40%

45至54歲 28%

45歲以下 22%

75至84歲 10%

Polymarket
最新

55-64 40%

45至54歲 28%

45歲以下 22%

75至84歲 10%

Polymarket
最新

45歲以下

$45 交易量

22%

45至54歲

$50 交易量

28%

55-64

$64 交易量

40%

65-74歲

$27 交易量

2%

75至84歲

$5 交易量

10%

85歲以上

$5 交易量

4%

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee's age centers on the 55-64 range at 40 percent, driven by frontrunners such as Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro alongside other governors and senators in that bracket who combine executive experience with broad appeal. The 45-54 band at 28 percent and under-45 category at 21.5 percent reflect momentum for figures like Pete Buttigieg, Wes Moore, Jon Ossoff, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, fueled by party interest in generational turnover after 2024 and strong polling or market positioning for these younger contenders. Recent speculation through mid-2026 shows a crowded field with no established favorite, elevating younger candidates' visibility while structural factors like Senate and gubernatorial records sustain support for mid-career options. Older brackets remain limited as few prominent names exceed age 65 in current discussions.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
交易量
$195
結束日期
2028-08-31
市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee's age centers on the 55-64 range at 40 percent, driven by frontrunners such as Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro alongside other governors and senators in that bracket who combine executive experience with broad appeal. The 45-54 band at 28 percent and under-45 category at 21.5 percent reflect momentum for figures like Pete Buttigieg, Wes Moore, Jon Ossoff, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, fueled by party interest in generational turnover after 2024 and strong polling or market positioning for these younger contenders. Recent speculation through mid-2026 shows a crowded field with no established favorite, elevating younger candidates' visibility while structural factors like Senate and gubernatorial records sustain support for mid-career options. Older brackets remain limited as few prominent names exceed age 65 in current discussions.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
交易量
$195
結束日期
2028-08-31
市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年民主黨總統候選人年齡?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "55-64" at 40%, followed by "45至54歲" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2028年民主黨總統候選人年齡?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 15, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2028年民主黨總統候選人年齡?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年民主黨總統候選人年齡?" is "55-64" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "45至54歲" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年民主黨總統候選人年齡?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.