Elon Musk’s recent posting rhythm, marked by sharp weekly swings between sub-100 and 200-plus totals, anchors trader sentiment around the 160-219 range for the September 15-22 window. Early September data reveal multiple low-volume stretches settling in the 40-64 bracket, tempering expectations for sustained high output, while his established baseline of roughly 25-35 posts per day supports mid-range resolution when no major Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI catalysts emerge. Historical patterns show quiet periods can persist absent external triggers, yet any platform commentary, product updates, or political developments could push counts higher. The close clustering among leading brackets reflects this uncertainty, with traders weighing recency against Musk’s variable cadence on X.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於180-199 18%
160-179 18%
200-219 16%
140-159 13%
$27,053 交易量
$27,053 交易量
少於20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
6%
140-159
13%
160-179
18%
180-199
18%
200-219
16%
220-239
12%
240-259
8%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 18%
160-179 18%
200-219 16%
140-159 13%
$27,053 交易量
$27,053 交易量
少於20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
6%
140-159
13%
160-179
18%
180-199
18%
200-219
16%
220-239
12%
240-259
8%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Elon Musk’s recent posting rhythm, marked by sharp weekly swings between sub-100 and 200-plus totals, anchors trader sentiment around the 160-219 range for the September 15-22 window. Early September data reveal multiple low-volume stretches settling in the 40-64 bracket, tempering expectations for sustained high output, while his established baseline of roughly 25-35 posts per day supports mid-range resolution when no major Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI catalysts emerge. Historical patterns show quiet periods can persist absent external triggers, yet any platform commentary, product updates, or political developments could push counts higher. The close clustering among leading brackets reflects this uncertainty, with traders weighing recency against Musk’s variable cadence on X.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions