**Neon’s wide 1,500-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s “Hope” on September 9 is the main factor anchoring trader sentiment, with the 156-minute sci-fi monster thriller facing a midweek launch and a 77% Rotten Tomatoes score that signals solid but not breakout critical reception.** Strong presales and premium-format availability (Dolby, 4DX, IMAX) reflect festival buzz from Cannes and the film’s record South Korean debut of $11.3 million, yet the lengthy runtime, mixed audience expectations for an imported genre title, and September competition limit upside. Historical patterns for non-English-language films and the market’s emphasis on domestic three-day totals (September 11–13) keep sub-$6 million as the clearest favorite at 43.5% implied probability, while 9–10 million sits second at 29%. Upcoming opening-weekend tracking and early word-of-mouth will be the decisive swing factors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《希望》周末首映票房
《希望》周末首映票房
低於600萬 44%
900萬-1000萬 29%
600萬至700萬 27%
700萬-800萬 23%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
低於600萬
44%
600萬至700萬
27%
700萬-800萬
23%
800萬-900萬
21%
900萬-1000萬
29%
一千萬以上
19%
低於600萬 44%
900萬-1000萬 29%
600萬至700萬 27%
700萬-800萬 23%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
低於600萬
$1 交易量
44%
600萬至700萬
$0 交易量
27%
700萬-800萬
$0 交易量
23%
800萬-900萬
$0 交易量
21%
900萬-1000萬
$0 交易量
29%
一千萬以上
$0 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Neon’s wide 1,500-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s “Hope” on September 9 is the main factor anchoring trader sentiment, with the 156-minute sci-fi monster thriller facing a midweek launch and a 77% Rotten Tomatoes score that signals solid but not breakout critical reception.** Strong presales and premium-format availability (Dolby, 4DX, IMAX) reflect festival buzz from Cannes and the film’s record South Korean debut of $11.3 million, yet the lengthy runtime, mixed audience expectations for an imported genre title, and September competition limit upside. Historical patterns for non-English-language films and the market’s emphasis on domestic three-day totals (September 11–13) keep sub-$6 million as the clearest favorite at 43.5% implied probability, while 9–10 million sits second at 29%. Upcoming opening-weekend tracking and early word-of-mouth will be the decisive swing factors.
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$1結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Neon’s wide 1,500-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s “Hope” on September 9 is the main factor anchoring trader sentiment, with the 156-minute sci-fi monster thriller facing a midweek launch and a 77% Rotten Tomatoes score that signals solid but not breakout critical reception.** Strong presales and premium-format availability (Dolby, 4DX, IMAX) reflect festival buzz from Cannes and the film’s record South Korean debut of $11.3 million, yet the lengthy runtime, mixed audience expectations for an imported genre title, and September competition limit upside. Historical patterns for non-English-language films and the market’s emphasis on domestic three-day totals (September 11–13) keep sub-$6 million as the clearest favorite at 43.5% implied probability, while 9–10 million sits second at 29%. Upcoming opening-weekend tracking and early word-of-mouth will be the decisive swing factors.
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$1結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ET**Neon’s wide 1,500-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s “Hope” on September 9 is the main factor anchoring trader sentiment, with the 156-minute sci-fi monster thriller facing a midweek launch and a 77% Rotten Tomatoes score that signals solid but not breakout critical reception.** Strong presales and premium-format availability (Dolby, 4DX, IMAX) reflect festival buzz from Cannes and the film’s record South Korean debut of $11.3 million, yet the lengthy runtime, mixed audience expectations for an imported genre title, and September competition limit upside. Historical patterns for non-English-language films and the market’s emphasis on domestic three-day totals (September 11–13) keep sub-$6 million as the clearest favorite at 43.5% implied probability, while 9–10 million sits second at 29%. Upcoming opening-weekend tracking and early word-of-mouth will be the decisive swing factors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions