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icon for 《蜘蛛人:全新一天》會超越《星際大戰:原力覺醒》嗎?

《蜘蛛人:全新一天》會超越《星際大戰:原力覺醒》嗎?

icon for 《蜘蛛人:全新一天》會超越《星際大戰:原力覺醒》嗎?

《蜘蛛人:全新一天》會超越《星際大戰:原力覺醒》嗎?

最新
2026-09-13
Polymarket

$3,779 交易量

Polymarket

9月13日

$1,464 交易量

36%

9月15日

$1,191 交易量

94%

9月17日

$312 交易量

96%

9月19日

$330 交易量

94%

9月21日

$483 交易量

96%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s domestic haul has reached roughly $925 million, placing it within striking distance of Star Wars: The Force Awakens’ long-standing $936.7 million record after a record $360 million opening and six straight weeks at No. 1. Sustained audience demand, premium-format ticket sales, and light late-summer competition have delivered stronger legs than most blockbusters, allowing the film to surpass Avengers: Endgame and No Way Home domestically while crossing $2.4 billion worldwide. With daily grosses still in the low-to-mid seven figures through early September and fall releases offering minimal direct threat, the market-implied odds heavily favor a crossover in the coming weeks if weekly performance holds above single-digit millions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
交易量
$3,779
結束日期
2026-09-21
市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s domestic haul has reached roughly $925 million, placing it within striking distance of Star Wars: The Force Awakens’ long-standing $936.7 million record after a record $360 million opening and six straight weeks at No. 1. Sustained audience demand, premium-format ticket sales, and light late-summer competition have delivered stronger legs than most blockbusters, allowing the film to surpass Avengers: Endgame and No Way Home domestically while crossing $2.4 billion worldwide. With daily grosses still in the low-to-mid seven figures through early September and fall releases offering minimal direct threat, the market-implied odds heavily favor a crossover in the coming weeks if weekly performance holds above single-digit millions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
交易量
$3,779
結束日期
2026-09-21
市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 4:40 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"《蜘蛛人:全新一天》會超越《星際大戰:原力覺醒》嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "9月17日" at 96%, followed by "9月21日" at 96%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"《蜘蛛人:全新一天》會超越《星際大戰:原力覺醒》嗎?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "《蜘蛛人:全新一天》會超越《星際大戰:原力覺醒》嗎?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "《蜘蛛人:全新一天》會超越《星際大戰:原力覺醒》嗎?" is "9月17日" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "9月21日" at 96%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "《蜘蛛人:全新一天》會超越《星際大戰:原力覺醒》嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.