With the 2027 Oscars Best Actor race still in its earliest stages, trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty and a wide field of potential contenders, as evidenced by numerous outcomes clustered near even implied probabilities. No dominant frontrunner has emerged from 2026 releases or festival buzz, leaving room for shifts driven by critical reception, guild nominations, and box-office performance in the months ahead. Established names like John Malkovich and Matt Damon hold modest edges based on career momentum and announced projects, while lower-odds candidates such as Timothée Chalamet and Ryan Gosling face longer odds due to limited confirmed 2026 vehicles. Upcoming events including fall festival premieres and precursor awards will likely consolidate support and clarify the competitive landscape before voting begins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主
2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主
約翰·馬克維奇 27.0%
麥特·戴蒙 25%
湯姆·克魯斯 18%
安德魯·斯科特 17%
$120,962 交易量
$120,962 交易量
2027-03-14
約翰·馬克維奇
27%
麥特·戴蒙
25%
湯姆·克魯斯
18%
安德魯·斯科特
17%
羅伯特·帕丁森
8%
賽巴斯汀·斯坦
2%
傑瑞米·斯特朗
2%
萊恩·葛斯林
2%
提莫西·查拉梅
1%
賈法爾·傑克森
1%
Sam Rockwell
1%
Pedro Pascal
1%
亞當·崔佛
<1%
布萊德·彼特
<1%
哈維爾·巴登
<1%
羅伯特·阿拉馬約
<1%
約翰·特托羅
<1%
喬什·奧康納
<1%
約翰·馬克維奇 27.0%
麥特·戴蒙 25%
湯姆·克魯斯 18%
安德魯·斯科特 17%
$120,962 交易量
$120,962 交易量
2027-03-14
約翰·馬克維奇
$9,359 交易量
27%
麥特·戴蒙
$34,252 交易量
25%
湯姆·克魯斯
$11,522 交易量
18%
安德魯·斯科特
$12,230 交易量
17%
羅伯特·帕丁森
$5,254 交易量
8%
賽巴斯汀·斯坦
$2,770 交易量
2%
傑瑞米·斯特朗
$4,044 交易量
2%
萊恩·葛斯林
$4,783 交易量
2%
提莫西·查拉梅
$3,698 交易量
1%
賈法爾·傑克森
$4,217 交易量
1%
Sam Rockwell
$4,582 交易量
1%
Pedro Pascal
$3,086 交易量
1%
亞當·崔佛
$2,378 交易量
<1%
布萊德·彼特
$8,117 交易量
<1%
哈維爾·巴登
$2,910 交易量
<1%
羅伯特·阿拉馬約
$3,125 交易量
<1%
約翰·特托羅
$3,092 交易量
<1%
喬什·奧康納
$1,542 交易量
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars Best Actor race still in its earliest stages, trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty and a wide field of potential contenders, as evidenced by numerous outcomes clustered near even implied probabilities. No dominant frontrunner has emerged from 2026 releases or festival buzz, leaving room for shifts driven by critical reception, guild nominations, and box-office performance in the months ahead. Established names like John Malkovich and Matt Damon hold modest edges based on career momentum and announced projects, while lower-odds candidates such as Timothée Chalamet and Ryan Gosling face longer odds due to limited confirmed 2026 vehicles. Upcoming events including fall festival premieres and precursor awards will likely consolidate support and clarify the competitive landscape before voting begins.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
交易量
$120,962結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars Best Actor race still in its earliest stages, trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty and a wide field of potential contenders, as evidenced by numerous outcomes clustered near even implied probabilities. No dominant frontrunner has emerged from 2026 releases or festival buzz, leaving room for shifts driven by critical reception, guild nominations, and box-office performance in the months ahead. Established names like John Malkovich and Matt Damon hold modest edges based on career momentum and announced projects, while lower-odds candidates such as Timothée Chalamet and Ryan Gosling face longer odds due to limited confirmed 2026 vehicles. Upcoming events including fall festival premieres and precursor awards will likely consolidate support and clarify the competitive landscape before voting begins.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$120,962結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETWith the 2027 Oscars Best Actor race still in its earliest stages, trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty and a wide field of potential contenders, as evidenced by numerous outcomes clustered near even implied probabilities. No dominant frontrunner has emerged from 2026 releases or festival buzz, leaving room for shifts driven by critical reception, guild nominations, and box-office performance in the months ahead. Established names like John Malkovich and Matt Damon hold modest edges based on career momentum and announced projects, while lower-odds candidates such as Timothée Chalamet and Ryan Gosling face longer odds due to limited confirmed 2026 vehicles. Upcoming events including fall festival premieres and precursor awards will likely consolidate support and clarify the competitive landscape before voting begins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions