Lionel Messi's unmatched finishing efficiency, high expected goals, and Inter Miami's possession-dominant attack have established him as the clear market leader at 46.1% implied probability for the 2026 MLS Golden Boot, building on his 2025 title with 29 goals. As of mid-August, he sits at 12 goals in limited appearances while posting elite goal contributions post-World Cup return, including recent multi-goal outings. Petar Musa (14 goals for FC Dallas) and Kévin Denkey trail in the scoring race with strong clinical finishing and favorable schedules, reflected in their 27.3% and 24.0% probabilities, while Sam Surridge and Evander benefit from recent tallies but face greater variability in team support and historical benchmarks. Trader consensus weighs Messi's consistency heavily against the competitive field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於萊昂內爾·梅西 46.1%
伊丹·托克洛馬蒂 24.3%
謝赫·薩巴利 21.8%
彼塔爾·穆薩 11.7%
$886,083 交易量
$886,083 交易量
萊昂內爾·梅西
46%
伊丹·托克洛馬蒂
24%
謝赫·薩巴利
22%
彼塔爾·穆薩
23%
丹尼斯·布安加
10%
泰·巴里博
7%
Evander
5%
Kévin Denkey
5%
米蘭·伊洛斯基
4%
迪揚·約韋利奇
7%
馬丁·奧赫達
3%
薩姆·薩里奇
22%
Hugo Cuypers
2%
布萊恩·懷特
2%
漢尼·穆赫塔爾
2%
埃里克·馬克西姆·舒波-莫廷
1%
Prince-Osei Owusu
6%
赫爾曼·貝爾特拉梅
1%
艾伯特·魯斯納克
1%
Anders Dreyer
20%
菲利普·辛克納爾
<1%
Tadeo Allende
<1%
丹尼·穆索夫斯基
<1%
迭戈·羅西
<1%
Djordje Mihailovic
<1%
阿隆索·馬丁內斯
<1%
馬爾科·帕沙利奇
<1%
Louis Munteanu
<1%
萊昂內爾·梅西 46.1%
伊丹·托克洛馬蒂 24.3%
謝赫·薩巴利 21.8%
彼塔爾·穆薩 11.7%
$886,083 交易量
$886,083 交易量
萊昂內爾·梅西
46%
伊丹·托克洛馬蒂
24%
謝赫·薩巴利
22%
彼塔爾·穆薩
23%
丹尼斯·布安加
10%
泰·巴里博
7%
Evander
5%
Kévin Denkey
5%
米蘭·伊洛斯基
4%
迪揚·約韋利奇
7%
馬丁·奧赫達
3%
薩姆·薩里奇
22%
Hugo Cuypers
2%
布萊恩·懷特
2%
漢尼·穆赫塔爾
2%
埃里克·馬克西姆·舒波-莫廷
1%
Prince-Osei Owusu
6%
赫爾曼·貝爾特拉梅
1%
艾伯特·魯斯納克
1%
Anders Dreyer
20%
菲利普·辛克納爾
<1%
Tadeo Allende
<1%
丹尼·穆索夫斯基
<1%
迭戈·羅西
<1%
Djordje Mihailovic
<1%
阿隆索·馬丁內斯
<1%
馬爾科·帕沙利奇
<1%
Louis Munteanu
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Feb 18, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lionel Messi's unmatched finishing efficiency, high expected goals, and Inter Miami's possession-dominant attack have established him as the clear market leader at 46.1% implied probability for the 2026 MLS Golden Boot, building on his 2025 title with 29 goals. As of mid-August, he sits at 12 goals in limited appearances while posting elite goal contributions post-World Cup return, including recent multi-goal outings. Petar Musa (14 goals for FC Dallas) and Kévin Denkey trail in the scoring race with strong clinical finishing and favorable schedules, reflected in their 27.3% and 24.0% probabilities, while Sam Surridge and Evander benefit from recent tallies but face greater variability in team support and historical benchmarks. Trader consensus weighs Messi's consistency heavily against the competitive field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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