**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s record nine Emmy nominations in its final season have fueled strong trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability.** Its 2025 win in the prior talk series category, combined with the narrative of a high-profile send-off after CBS canceled the program, positions it as the clear frontrunner in the newly merged Outstanding Variety Series race. Nominees include Last Week Tonight With John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Saturday Night Live, and The Daily Show, but none match Colbert’s volume of technical and creative nods or the emotional momentum of a farewell campaign. With final-round voting concluding August 26 and the September 14 ceremony approaching, the market reflects aggregated sentiment that voters are likely to reward the show’s legacy and peak recognition rather than split the “area award” among competitors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於艾美獎2026 ：傑出綜藝系列
艾美獎2026 ：傑出綜藝系列
《史蒂芬·科貝爾晚間秀》 75%
《上週今夜秀與約翰·奧利佛》 8.6%
《吉米·基墨直播！》 4.3%
《週六夜現場》 2.5%
$108,354 交易量
$108,354 交易量
2026-09-14
《史蒂芬·科貝爾晚間秀》
75%
《上週今夜秀與約翰·奧利佛》
9%
《吉米·基墨直播！》
4%
《週六夜現場》
2%
《每日秀》
2%
《史蒂芬·科貝爾晚間秀》 75%
《上週今夜秀與約翰·奧利佛》 8.6%
《吉米·基墨直播！》 4.3%
《週六夜現場》 2.5%
$108,354 交易量
$108,354 交易量
2026-09-14
《史蒂芬·科貝爾晚間秀》
$35,484 交易量
75%
《上週今夜秀與約翰·奧利佛》
$20,634 交易量
9%
《吉米·基墨直播！》
$25,487 交易量
4%
《週六夜現場》
$12,864 交易量
2%
《每日秀》
$13,886 交易量
2%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s record nine Emmy nominations in its final season have fueled strong trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability.**
Its 2025 win in the prior talk series category, combined with the narrative of a high-profile send-off after CBS canceled the program, positions it as the clear frontrunner in the newly merged Outstanding Variety Series race. Nominees include Last Week Tonight With John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Saturday Night Live, and The Daily Show, but none match Colbert’s volume of technical and creative nods or the emotional momentum of a farewell campaign.
With final-round voting concluding August 26 and the September 14 ceremony approaching, the market reflects aggregated sentiment that voters are likely to reward the show’s legacy and peak recognition rather than split the “area award” among competitors.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
交易量
$108,354結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETThe 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s record nine Emmy nominations in its final season have fueled strong trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability.**
Its 2025 win in the prior talk series category, combined with the narrative of a high-profile send-off after CBS canceled the program, positions it as the clear frontrunner in the newly merged Outstanding Variety Series race. Nominees include Last Week Tonight With John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Saturday Night Live, and The Daily Show, but none match Colbert’s volume of technical and creative nods or the emotional momentum of a farewell campaign.
With final-round voting concluding August 26 and the September 14 ceremony approaching, the market reflects aggregated sentiment that voters are likely to reward the show’s legacy and peak recognition rather than split the “area award” among competitors.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$108,354結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s record nine Emmy nominations in its final season have fueled strong trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability.** Its 2025 win in the prior talk series category, combined with the narrative of a high-profile send-off after CBS canceled the program, positions it as the clear frontrunner in the newly merged Outstanding Variety Series race. Nominees include Last Week Tonight With John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Saturday Night Live, and The Daily Show, but none match Colbert’s volume of technical and creative nods or the emotional momentum of a farewell campaign. With final-round voting concluding August 26 and the September 14 ceremony approaching, the market reflects aggregated sentiment that voters are likely to reward the show’s legacy and peak recognition rather than split the “area award” among competitors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions