Carey Mulligan leads trader sentiment for the Emmys 2026 lead actress limited series award at 42.5% implied probability, driven by Netflix’s “Beef” Season 2 earning 16 nominations and strong critical buzz for her unhinged performance. Sarah Snook sits at 22.5% on the strength of Peacock’s “All Her Fault,” which delivered the platform’s first major scripted nods and her established TV profile from “Succession.” Sally Field’s 15% reflects veteran appeal and a rare TV movie nomination for “Remarkably Bright Creatures,” though mixed reviews temper momentum. Newcomer Sarah Pidgeon at 11.7% benefited from early hype for FX’s “Love Story” but saw the series underperform overall. Claire Danes trails at 4.3% despite “The Beast in Me” nods. With final voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony imminent, “Beef”’s nomination volume and narrative as a returning contender position Mulligan as the market favorite.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於艾美獎2026 ：限量或選集系列或電影中的傑出女主角
艾美獎2026 ：限量或選集系列或電影中的傑出女主角
嘉莉·瑪莉根 –《怒嗆人生》 43%
莎拉·斯努克 –《都是她的錯》 23%
莎莉·菲爾德——《驚人亮眼的生物》 14.9%
Sarah Pidgeon–《愛情故事：約翰·F·甘迺迪小與卡洛琳·貝塞特》 11.9%
$50,878 交易量
$50,878 交易量
2026-09-14
嘉莉·瑪莉根 –《怒嗆人生》
43%
莎拉·斯努克 –《都是她的錯》
23%
莎莉·菲爾德——《驚人亮眼的生物》
15%
Sarah Pidgeon–《愛情故事：約翰·F·甘迺迪小與卡洛琳·貝塞特》
12%
Claire Danes –《野獸在我》
4%
嘉莉·瑪莉根 –《怒嗆人生》 43%
莎拉·斯努克 –《都是她的錯》 23%
莎莉·菲爾德——《驚人亮眼的生物》 14.9%
Sarah Pidgeon–《愛情故事：約翰·F·甘迺迪小與卡洛琳·貝塞特》 11.9%
$50,878 交易量
$50,878 交易量
2026-09-14
嘉莉·瑪莉根 –《怒嗆人生》
$22,116 交易量
43%
莎拉·斯努克 –《都是她的錯》
$10,139 交易量
23%
莎莉·菲爾德——《驚人亮眼的生物》
$6,222 交易量
15%
Sarah Pidgeon–《愛情故事：約翰·F·甘迺迪小與卡洛琳·貝塞特》
$9,820 交易量
12%
Claire Danes –《野獸在我》
$2,582 交易量
4%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie".
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carey Mulligan leads trader sentiment for the Emmys 2026 lead actress limited series award at 42.5% implied probability, driven by Netflix’s “Beef” Season 2 earning 16 nominations and strong critical buzz for her unhinged performance. Sarah Snook sits at 22.5% on the strength of Peacock’s “All Her Fault,” which delivered the platform’s first major scripted nods and her established TV profile from “Succession.” Sally Field’s 15% reflects veteran appeal and a rare TV movie nomination for “Remarkably Bright Creatures,” though mixed reviews temper momentum. Newcomer Sarah Pidgeon at 11.7% benefited from early hype for FX’s “Love Story” but saw the series underperform overall. Claire Danes trails at 4.3% despite “The Beast in Me” nods. With final voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony imminent, “Beef”’s nomination volume and narrative as a returning contender position Mulligan as the market favorite.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie".
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie".
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 10, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
交易量
$50,878結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:52 PM ETThe 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie".
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carey Mulligan leads trader sentiment for the Emmys 2026 lead actress limited series award at 42.5% implied probability, driven by Netflix’s “Beef” Season 2 earning 16 nominations and strong critical buzz for her unhinged performance. Sarah Snook sits at 22.5% on the strength of Peacock’s “All Her Fault,” which delivered the platform’s first major scripted nods and her established TV profile from “Succession.” Sally Field’s 15% reflects veteran appeal and a rare TV movie nomination for “Remarkably Bright Creatures,” though mixed reviews temper momentum. Newcomer Sarah Pidgeon at 11.7% benefited from early hype for FX’s “Love Story” but saw the series underperform overall. Claire Danes trails at 4.3% despite “The Beast in Me” nods. With final voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony imminent, “Beef”’s nomination volume and narrative as a returning contender position Mulligan as the market favorite.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie".
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie".
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$50,878結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:52 PM ETCarey Mulligan leads trader sentiment for the Emmys 2026 lead actress limited series award at 42.5% implied probability, driven by Netflix’s “Beef” Season 2 earning 16 nominations and strong critical buzz for her unhinged performance. Sarah Snook sits at 22.5% on the strength of Peacock’s “All Her Fault,” which delivered the platform’s first major scripted nods and her established TV profile from “Succession.” Sally Field’s 15% reflects veteran appeal and a rare TV movie nomination for “Remarkably Bright Creatures,” though mixed reviews temper momentum. Newcomer Sarah Pidgeon at 11.7% benefited from early hype for FX’s “Love Story” but saw the series underperform overall. Claire Danes trails at 4.3% despite “The Beast in Me” nods. With final voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony imminent, “Beef”’s nomination volume and narrative as a returning contender position Mulligan as the market favorite.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions