David Harbour leads the market at 70.4% implied probability thanks to his central, critically praised turn as Floyd in the acclaimed HBO limited series “DTF St. Louis,” which earned 13 Emmy nominations and strong reviews for its dark-comedy murder mystery. Multiple submissions from the same ensemble create some risk of vote splitting, yet industry consensus and precursor buzz position Harbour ahead of costars Jason Bateman and Richard Jenkins. Charles Melton sits at 23.8% on the strength of his standout work in Netflix’s “Beef” Season 2, while Nick Offerman (“Death by Lightning”), Richard Gadd (“Half Man”), and Jenkins trail with far less momentum. With final-round voting concluded and the Sept. 14 ceremony imminent, traders are pricing in Harbour’s frontrunner status against realistic but limited upset potential from Melton.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於艾美獎2026 ：限量或選集系列或電影中的傑出配角
艾美獎2026 ：限量或選集系列或電影中的傑出配角
大衛·哈伯——《DTF聖路易斯》 70.0%
查爾斯·梅爾頓 – 《怒嗆人生》 23.7%
傑森·貝特曼 –《DTF 聖路易》 4.7%
Nick Offerman –《Death By Lightning》 4.5%
$28,099 交易量
$28,099 交易量
2026-09-14
大衛·哈伯——《DTF聖路易斯》
70%
查爾斯·梅爾頓 – 《怒嗆人生》
24%
傑森·貝特曼 –《DTF 聖路易》
5%
Nick Offerman –《Death By Lightning》
5%
Richard Gadd –《Half Man》
2%
Richard Jenkins – “DTF St. Louis”
<1%
大衛·哈伯——《DTF聖路易斯》 70.0%
查爾斯·梅爾頓 – 《怒嗆人生》 23.7%
傑森·貝特曼 –《DTF 聖路易》 4.7%
Nick Offerman –《Death By Lightning》 4.5%
$28,099 交易量
$28,099 交易量
2026-09-14
大衛·哈伯——《DTF聖路易斯》
$14,867 交易量
70%
查爾斯·梅爾頓 – 《怒嗆人生》
$5,856 交易量
24%
傑森·貝特曼 –《DTF 聖路易》
$1,904 交易量
5%
Nick Offerman –《Death By Lightning》
$1,475 交易量
5%
Richard Gadd –《Half Man》
$1,837 交易量
2%
Richard Jenkins – “DTF St. Louis”
$2,161 交易量
<1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.David Harbour leads the market at 70.4% implied probability thanks to his central, critically praised turn as Floyd in the acclaimed HBO limited series “DTF St. Louis,” which earned 13 Emmy nominations and strong reviews for its dark-comedy murder mystery. Multiple submissions from the same ensemble create some risk of vote splitting, yet industry consensus and precursor buzz position Harbour ahead of costars Jason Bateman and Richard Jenkins. Charles Melton sits at 23.8% on the strength of his standout work in Netflix’s “Beef” Season 2, while Nick Offerman (“Death by Lightning”), Richard Gadd (“Half Man”), and Jenkins trail with far less momentum. With final-round voting concluded and the Sept. 14 ceremony imminent, traders are pricing in Harbour’s frontrunner status against realistic but limited upset potential from Melton.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 10, 2026, 12:51 PM ET
交易量
$28,099結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:51 PM ETThe 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.David Harbour leads the market at 70.4% implied probability thanks to his central, critically praised turn as Floyd in the acclaimed HBO limited series “DTF St. Louis,” which earned 13 Emmy nominations and strong reviews for its dark-comedy murder mystery. Multiple submissions from the same ensemble create some risk of vote splitting, yet industry consensus and precursor buzz position Harbour ahead of costars Jason Bateman and Richard Jenkins. Charles Melton sits at 23.8% on the strength of his standout work in Netflix’s “Beef” Season 2, while Nick Offerman (“Death by Lightning”), Richard Gadd (“Half Man”), and Jenkins trail with far less momentum. With final-round voting concluded and the Sept. 14 ceremony imminent, traders are pricing in Harbour’s frontrunner status against realistic but limited upset potential from Melton.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$28,099結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:51 PM ETDavid Harbour leads the market at 70.4% implied probability thanks to his central, critically praised turn as Floyd in the acclaimed HBO limited series “DTF St. Louis,” which earned 13 Emmy nominations and strong reviews for its dark-comedy murder mystery. Multiple submissions from the same ensemble create some risk of vote splitting, yet industry consensus and precursor buzz position Harbour ahead of costars Jason Bateman and Richard Jenkins. Charles Melton sits at 23.8% on the strength of his standout work in Netflix’s “Beef” Season 2, while Nick Offerman (“Death by Lightning”), Richard Gadd (“Half Man”), and Jenkins trail with far less momentum. With final-round voting concluded and the Sept. 14 ceremony imminent, traders are pricing in Harbour’s frontrunner status against realistic but limited upset potential from Melton.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions