Recent AtlasIntel polling placed Renan Santos at 6.5% in the October 4 first round, up from 3% in earlier Datafolha and BTG/Nexus surveys, while competing with Augusto Cury and Ronaldo Caiado for third-place support behind Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro. The Tribunal Superior Eleitoral's unanimous validation of his Missão party candidacy on September 10 removed a key procedural hurdle after a brief social-media suspension. Santos maintains momentum through intensive digital outreach and regional campaigning, including events in Paraná and Santa Catarina, targeting younger voters disillusioned with the two main blocs. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band of recent results, with limited television exposure and the dominant Lula-Bolsonaro polarization constraining upside potential absent late swings in turnout or undecided voters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2-4% 34%
4-6% 33%
8% 以上 19%
6-8% 16%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
少於2%
10%
2-4%
34%
4-6%
33%
6-8%
9%
8% 以上
19%
2-4% 34%
4-6% 33%
8% 以上 19%
6-8% 16%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
少於2%
$82 交易量
10%
2-4%
$386 交易量
34%
4-6%
$151 交易量
33%
6-8%
$82 交易量
9%
8% 以上
$436 交易量
19%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent AtlasIntel polling placed Renan Santos at 6.5% in the October 4 first round, up from 3% in earlier Datafolha and BTG/Nexus surveys, while competing with Augusto Cury and Ronaldo Caiado for third-place support behind Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro. The Tribunal Superior Eleitoral's unanimous validation of his Missão party candidacy on September 10 removed a key procedural hurdle after a brief social-media suspension. Santos maintains momentum through intensive digital outreach and regional campaigning, including events in Paraná and Santa Catarina, targeting younger voters disillusioned with the two main blocs. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band of recent results, with limited television exposure and the dominant Lula-Bolsonaro polarization constraining upside potential absent late swings in turnout or undecided voters.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ET
交易量
$1,137結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent AtlasIntel polling placed Renan Santos at 6.5% in the October 4 first round, up from 3% in earlier Datafolha and BTG/Nexus surveys, while competing with Augusto Cury and Ronaldo Caiado for third-place support behind Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro. The Tribunal Superior Eleitoral's unanimous validation of his Missão party candidacy on September 10 removed a key procedural hurdle after a brief social-media suspension. Santos maintains momentum through intensive digital outreach and regional campaigning, including events in Paraná and Santa Catarina, targeting younger voters disillusioned with the two main blocs. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band of recent results, with limited television exposure and the dominant Lula-Bolsonaro polarization constraining upside potential absent late swings in turnout or undecided voters.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$1,137結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ETRecent AtlasIntel polling placed Renan Santos at 6.5% in the October 4 first round, up from 3% in earlier Datafolha and BTG/Nexus surveys, while competing with Augusto Cury and Ronaldo Caiado for third-place support behind Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro. The Tribunal Superior Eleitoral's unanimous validation of his Missão party candidacy on September 10 removed a key procedural hurdle after a brief social-media suspension. Santos maintains momentum through intensive digital outreach and regional campaigning, including events in Paraná and Santa Catarina, targeting younger voters disillusioned with the two main blocs. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band of recent results, with limited television exposure and the dominant Lula-Bolsonaro polarization constraining upside potential absent late swings in turnout or undecided voters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions