Skip to main content
icon for 北裏奧格蘭德州參議院選舉：第一名
政治·巴西

北裏奧格蘭德州參議院選舉：第一名

icon for 北裏奧格蘭德州參議院選舉：第一名
政治·巴西

北裏奧格蘭德州參議院選舉：第一名

Styvenson Valentim 72%

Zenaide Maia 15.3%

Samanda de Lula 2.3%

Rosália Fernandes <1%

Polymarket

$19,856 交易量

Styvenson Valentim 72%

Zenaide Maia 15.3%

Samanda de Lula 2.3%

Rosália Fernandes <1%

Polymarket

$19,856 交易量

icon for Styvenson Valentim

Styvenson Valentim

$7,393 交易量

72%

icon for Zenaide Maia

Zenaide Maia

$5,285 交易量

15%

icon for Samanda de Lula

Samanda de Lula

$888 交易量

6%

icon for Rosália Fernandes

Rosália Fernandes

$808 交易量

1%

icon for Sonia Godeiro

Sonia Godeiro

$549 交易量

<1%

icon for Coronel Hélio

Coronel Hélio

$717 交易量

<1%

icon for Linhares Jiboia

Linhares Jiboia

$487 交易量

<1%

icon for Luciana Mandu

Luciana Mandu

$528 交易量

<1%

icon for Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

$542 交易量

<1%

icon for Professor Guilherme

Professor Guilherme

$565 交易量

<1%

icon for Gari Wendell Batista

Gari Wendell Batista

$558 交易量

<1%

icon for Rafael Motta

Rafael Motta

$640 交易量

<1%

icon for Sandro Pimentel

Sandro Pimentel

$443 交易量

<1%

icon for Tércio Tinôco

Tércio Tinôco

$474 交易量

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holds a clear lead in Rio Grande do Norte’s two-seat Senate contest, driven by consistent first-preference support in late-August polling that places him at 26–35% compared with Zenaide Maia (PSD) at 10–13%. Recent surveys, including Quaest (20–23 August) and Consult (late August), show high undecided and blank/null shares (23–33%), yet Valentim’s advantage in first-round voting has widened since mid-year while Maia and challengers such as Samanda de Lula (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL) remain clustered lower. Official campaigning began in mid-August ahead of the 4 October vote, with second-preference data indicating Hélio gaining ground but not threatening the top position. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the structural edge of an incumbent seeking reelection.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$19,856
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holds a clear lead in Rio Grande do Norte’s two-seat Senate contest, driven by consistent first-preference support in late-August polling that places him at 26–35% compared with Zenaide Maia (PSD) at 10–13%. Recent surveys, including Quaest (20–23 August) and Consult (late August), show high undecided and blank/null shares (23–33%), yet Valentim’s advantage in first-round voting has widened since mid-year while Maia and challengers such as Samanda de Lula (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL) remain clustered lower. Official campaigning began in mid-August ahead of the 4 October vote, with second-preference data indicating Hélio gaining ground but not threatening the top position. Trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the structural edge of an incumbent seeking reelection.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$19,856
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

相關

icon for 拉斐爾·莫塔會在2026年北大河州參議員選舉中獲得第二高票數嗎？

拉斐爾·莫塔會在2026年北大河州參議員選舉中獲得第二高票數嗎？

37%
是
icon for Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

38%
icon for 馬努埃拉·達維拉會在2026年南大河州參議院選舉中獲得第二高票數嗎？

馬努埃拉·達維拉會在2026年南大河州參議院選舉中獲得第二高票數嗎？

33%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"北裏奧格蘭德州參議院選舉：第一名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Styvenson Valentim" at 72%, followed by "Zenaide Maia" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "北裏奧格蘭德州參議院選舉：第一名" has generated $19.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "北裏奧格蘭德州參議院選舉：第一名," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "北裏奧格蘭德州參議院選舉：第一名" is "Styvenson Valentim" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Zenaide Maia" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "北裏奧格蘭德州參議院選舉：第一名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.