**Recent polling from late August 2026 shows the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race for the two available seats remains fluid, with incumbent Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holding a clear edge for first place while the contest for second stays tightly contested among Zenaide Maia (PSD), Rafael Motta (PDT), Samanda de Lula (PT), and Coronel Hélio (PL).** Combined first-and-second-choice surveys place Valentim well ahead, yet second-preference support lifts Hélio notably, while Maia, Motta, and Samanda cluster within a few points amid 23–24% undecided or blank/null responses. Official campaigning began mid-August following party conventions that confirmed 13 candidates, with structural factors such as incumbency advantages, party coalitions, and voter willingness to split tickets keeping probabilities compressed. Late shifts in second-choice flows, turnout among undecided voters, or alliance adjustments before the October 4 vote could widen gaps among the main contenders for the remaining seat.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於拉斐爾·莫塔 36.1%
Zenaide Maia 24%
Styvenson Valentim 20.1%
薩曼達·德·魯拉 19%
$16,448 交易量
$16,448 交易量
2026-10-04
拉斐爾·莫塔
36%
Zenaide Maia
24%
Styvenson Valentim
20%
薩曼達·德·魯拉
19%
Coronel Hélio
2%
羅薩莉亞·費爾南德斯
2%
特西奧·蒂諾科
1%
盧西安娜·曼杜
1%
吉列爾梅教授
1%
索尼婭·戈代羅
1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
<1%
林納雷斯·吉博亞
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
<1%
加里·溫德爾·巴蒂斯塔
<1%
拉斐爾·莫塔 36.1%
Zenaide Maia 24%
Styvenson Valentim 20.1%
薩曼達·德·魯拉 19%
$16,448 交易量
$16,448 交易量
2026-10-04
拉斐爾·莫塔
$1,492 交易量
36%
Zenaide Maia
$2,317 交易量
24%
Styvenson Valentim
$1,487 交易量
20%
薩曼達·德·魯拉
$5,644 交易量
19%
Coronel Hélio
$534 交易量
2%
羅薩莉亞·費爾南德斯
$649 交易量
2%
特西奧·蒂諾科
$629 交易量
1%
盧西安娜·曼杜
$600 交易量
1%
吉列爾梅教授
$487 交易量
1%
索尼婭·戈代羅
$479 交易量
1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
$550 交易量
<1%
林納雷斯·吉博亞
$549 交易量
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
$520 交易量
<1%
加里·溫德爾·巴蒂斯塔
$511 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling from late August 2026 shows the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race for the two available seats remains fluid, with incumbent Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holding a clear edge for first place while the contest for second stays tightly contested among Zenaide Maia (PSD), Rafael Motta (PDT), Samanda de Lula (PT), and Coronel Hélio (PL).**
Combined first-and-second-choice surveys place Valentim well ahead, yet second-preference support lifts Hélio notably, while Maia, Motta, and Samanda cluster within a few points amid 23–24% undecided or blank/null responses. Official campaigning began mid-August following party conventions that confirmed 13 candidates, with structural factors such as incumbency advantages, party coalitions, and voter willingness to split tickets keeping probabilities compressed. Late shifts in second-choice flows, turnout among undecided voters, or alliance adjustments before the October 4 vote could widen gaps among the main contenders for the remaining seat.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
交易量
$16,448結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling from late August 2026 shows the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race for the two available seats remains fluid, with incumbent Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holding a clear edge for first place while the contest for second stays tightly contested among Zenaide Maia (PSD), Rafael Motta (PDT), Samanda de Lula (PT), and Coronel Hélio (PL).**
Combined first-and-second-choice surveys place Valentim well ahead, yet second-preference support lifts Hélio notably, while Maia, Motta, and Samanda cluster within a few points amid 23–24% undecided or blank/null responses. Official campaigning began mid-August following party conventions that confirmed 13 candidates, with structural factors such as incumbency advantages, party coalitions, and voter willingness to split tickets keeping probabilities compressed. Late shifts in second-choice flows, turnout among undecided voters, or alliance adjustments before the October 4 vote could widen gaps among the main contenders for the remaining seat.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$16,448結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET**Recent polling from late August 2026 shows the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race for the two available seats remains fluid, with incumbent Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holding a clear edge for first place while the contest for second stays tightly contested among Zenaide Maia (PSD), Rafael Motta (PDT), Samanda de Lula (PT), and Coronel Hélio (PL).** Combined first-and-second-choice surveys place Valentim well ahead, yet second-preference support lifts Hélio notably, while Maia, Motta, and Samanda cluster within a few points amid 23–24% undecided or blank/null responses. Official campaigning began mid-August following party conventions that confirmed 13 candidates, with structural factors such as incumbency advantages, party coalitions, and voter willingness to split tickets keeping probabilities compressed. Late shifts in second-choice flows, turnout among undecided voters, or alliance adjustments before the October 4 vote could widen gaps among the main contenders for the remaining seat.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions