The tight September 13 election produced a narrow centre-left lead of 176 seats to 173 for the Tidö parties, with final seat counts still pending after remaining advance and overseas ballots. This uncertainty, combined with internal bloc frictions, underpins the fragmented pricing where S+MP+C leads at 25%. Magdalena Andersson’s Social Democrats must navigate Centre Party resistance to including the Left Party in cabinet while the Moderates explore cross-bloc overtures to Centre. Sweden Democrats’ seat losses and the absence of a clear majority have lengthened coalition talks ahead of the September 29 speaker vote, keeping multiple combinations viable until negotiations clarify which partners can secure Riksdag support.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於社會民主黨（S）+ 環保黨（MP）+ 中間黨（C） 28%
社會民主黨 + 綠黨（S + MP） 14%
M + KD + L + SD 13%
其他 13%
最新
最新
2027-07-31
社會民主黨（S）+ 環保黨（MP）+ 中間黨（C）
22%
社會民主黨 + 綠黨（S + MP）
10%
M + KD + L + SD
13%
其他
13%
社會民主黨 + 綠黨 + 中間黨 + 左翼黨
12%
社會民主黨 + 綠黨 + 左翼黨
11%
M + KD + L + C
10%
社會民主黨（S）+ 溫和黨（M）
9%
社會民主黨 + 綠黨 + 中間黨 + 自由黨
8%
M黨 + SD黨
8%
M + KD + L
8%
社會民主黨 + 中間黨（S + C）
8%
社民黨（S）
7%
社民黨＋中間黨＋左翼黨
7%
S + MP + C + KD
7%
M + KD + SD
6%
S + C + L
5%
M + KD
5%
溫和黨（M）
4%
社會民主黨+綠黨+自由黨
3%
社民黨 + 左翼黨
2%
社會民主黨（S）+ 環保黨（MP）+ 中間黨（C） 28%
社會民主黨 + 綠黨（S + MP） 14%
M + KD + L + SD 13%
其他 13%
最新
最新
2027-07-31
社會民主黨（S）+ 環保黨（MP）+ 中間黨（C）
$105 交易量
22%
社會民主黨 + 綠黨（S + MP）
$170 交易量
10%
M + KD + L + SD
$98 交易量
13%
其他
$54 交易量
13%
社會民主黨 + 綠黨 + 中間黨 + 左翼黨
$206 交易量
12%
社會民主黨 + 綠黨 + 左翼黨
$144 交易量
11%
M + KD + L + C
$77 交易量
10%
社會民主黨（S）+ 溫和黨（M）
$43 交易量
9%
社會民主黨 + 綠黨 + 中間黨 + 自由黨
$43 交易量
8%
M黨 + SD黨
$43 交易量
8%
M + KD + L
$64 交易量
8%
社會民主黨 + 中間黨（S + C）
$84 交易量
8%
社民黨（S）
$64 交易量
7%
社民黨＋中間黨＋左翼黨
$64 交易量
7%
S + MP + C + KD
$54 交易量
7%
M + KD + SD
$64 交易量
6%
S + C + L
$64 交易量
5%
M + KD
$64 交易量
5%
溫和黨（M）
$167 交易量
4%
社會民主黨+綠黨+自由黨
$64 交易量
3%
社民黨 + 左翼黨
$137 交易量
2%
Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
The following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.
For example:
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.
In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
If any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.
If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.
If the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.The tight September 13 election produced a narrow centre-left lead of 176 seats to 173 for the Tidö parties, with final seat counts still pending after remaining advance and overseas ballots. This uncertainty, combined with internal bloc frictions, underpins the fragmented pricing where S+MP+C leads at 25%. Magdalena Andersson’s Social Democrats must navigate Centre Party resistance to including the Left Party in cabinet while the Moderates explore cross-bloc overtures to Centre. Sweden Democrats’ seat losses and the absence of a clear majority have lengthened coalition talks ahead of the September 29 speaker vote, keeping multiple combinations viable until negotiations clarify which partners can secure Riksdag support.
Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
The following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.
For example:
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.
In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
If any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.
If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.
If the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
The following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.
For example:
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.
In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
If any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.
If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.
If the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
交易量
$1,876結束日期
2027-08-01市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 10:50 AM ETParliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
The following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.
For example:
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.
In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
If any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.
If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.
If the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.The tight September 13 election produced a narrow centre-left lead of 176 seats to 173 for the Tidö parties, with final seat counts still pending after remaining advance and overseas ballots. This uncertainty, combined with internal bloc frictions, underpins the fragmented pricing where S+MP+C leads at 25%. Magdalena Andersson’s Social Democrats must navigate Centre Party resistance to including the Left Party in cabinet while the Moderates explore cross-bloc overtures to Centre. Sweden Democrats’ seat losses and the absence of a clear majority have lengthened coalition talks ahead of the September 29 speaker vote, keeping multiple combinations viable until negotiations clarify which partners can secure Riksdag support.
Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
The following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.
For example:
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.
In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
If any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.
If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.
If the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
The following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.
For example:
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.
In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
If any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.
If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.
If the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
交易量
$1,876結束日期
2027-08-01市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 10:50 AM ETThe tight September 13 election produced a narrow centre-left lead of 176 seats to 173 for the Tidö parties, with final seat counts still pending after remaining advance and overseas ballots. This uncertainty, combined with internal bloc frictions, underpins the fragmented pricing where S+MP+C leads at 25%. Magdalena Andersson’s Social Democrats must navigate Centre Party resistance to including the Left Party in cabinet while the Moderates explore cross-bloc overtures to Centre. Sweden Democrats’ seat losses and the absence of a clear majority have lengthened coalition talks ahead of the September 29 speaker vote, keeping multiple combinations viable until negotiations clarify which partners can secure Riksdag support.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions