Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison secured the party's nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 74 percent of the vote, advancing to the November 3 general election against Democrat Missi Hesketh and Libertarian Kevin Craig. The district's strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus for a GOP hold. Missouri's congressional map and voter patterns in the southwest region further limit Democratic prospects. A commanding lead could face pressure from an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or late national political shift, though structural advantages and recent primary performance keep the implied probability elevated.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$23,359 交易量
$23,359 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
95%
民主黨
6%
$23,359 交易量
$23,359 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$17,012 交易量
95%
民主黨
$6,347 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison secured the party's nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 74 percent of the vote, advancing to the November 3 general election against Democrat Missi Hesketh and Libertarian Kevin Craig. The district's strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus for a GOP hold. Missouri's congressional map and voter patterns in the southwest region further limit Democratic prospects. A commanding lead could face pressure from an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or late national political shift, though structural advantages and recent primary performance keep the implied probability elevated.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$23,359結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison secured the party's nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 74 percent of the vote, advancing to the November 3 general election against Democrat Missi Hesketh and Libertarian Kevin Craig. The district's strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus for a GOP hold. Missouri's congressional map and voter patterns in the southwest region further limit Democratic prospects. A commanding lead could face pressure from an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or late national political shift, though structural advantages and recent primary performance keep the implied probability elevated.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$23,359結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison secured the party's nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 74 percent of the vote, advancing to the November 3 general election against Democrat Missi Hesketh and Libertarian Kevin Craig. The district's strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus for a GOP hold. Missouri's congressional map and voter patterns in the southwest region further limit Democratic prospects. A commanding lead could face pressure from an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or late national political shift, though structural advantages and recent primary performance keep the implied probability elevated.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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