Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner’s strong performance in the August 4 primary, securing nearly 74 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, has reinforced trader expectations in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District. The suburban St. Louis seat carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and delivered an eight-point margin for the GOP presidential ticket in 2024, providing a structural advantage for the seven-term representative. Democratic nominee Frederick Wellman emerged from a competitive primary but faces an uphill path in a district where recent independent ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Limited polling and the absence of major late-breaking developments have kept market pricing aligned with historical turnout patterns and incumbency effects heading into the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-02
共和黨
76%
民主黨
24%
最新
最新
2026-11-02
共和黨
$4,636 交易量
76%
民主黨
$3,833 交易量
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner’s strong performance in the August 4 primary, securing nearly 74 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, has reinforced trader expectations in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District. The suburban St. Louis seat carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and delivered an eight-point margin for the GOP presidential ticket in 2024, providing a structural advantage for the seven-term representative. Democratic nominee Frederick Wellman emerged from a competitive primary but faces an uphill path in a district where recent independent ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Limited polling and the absence of major late-breaking developments have kept market pricing aligned with historical turnout patterns and incumbency effects heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$8,469結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner’s strong performance in the August 4 primary, securing nearly 74 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, has reinforced trader expectations in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District. The suburban St. Louis seat carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and delivered an eight-point margin for the GOP presidential ticket in 2024, providing a structural advantage for the seven-term representative. Democratic nominee Frederick Wellman emerged from a competitive primary but faces an uphill path in a district where recent independent ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Limited polling and the absence of major late-breaking developments have kept market pricing aligned with historical turnout patterns and incumbency effects heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,469結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Republican Ann Wagner’s strong performance in the August 4 primary, securing nearly 74 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, has reinforced trader expectations in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District. The suburban St. Louis seat carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and delivered an eight-point margin for the GOP presidential ticket in 2024, providing a structural advantage for the seven-term representative. Democratic nominee Frederick Wellman emerged from a competitive primary but faces an uphill path in a district where recent independent ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Limited polling and the absence of major late-breaking developments have kept market pricing aligned with historical turnout patterns and incumbency effects heading into the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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