Incumbent Democrat Lori Trahan seeks re-election in Massachusetts’s 3rd congressional district, a solidly Democratic seat encompassing Lowell, Lawrence, and surrounding areas in the northeastern and central part of the state. Trader consensus reflects the district’s consistent partisan lean, with Trahan’s prior general-election margins exceeding 97 percent and Cook Political Report maintaining a Solid D rating. The Republican nominee, Gary Grossi, faces limited visibility and fundraising, while the September 1, 2026, primaries and November general election occur in a state where Democrats have held every House seat for years. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the baseline in recent months. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment capable of overcoming the district’s structural Democratic advantage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$23,107 交易量
$23,107 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$23,107 交易量
$23,107 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
$11,825 交易量
96%
Republican Party
$11,283 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lori Trahan seeks re-election in Massachusetts’s 3rd congressional district, a solidly Democratic seat encompassing Lowell, Lawrence, and surrounding areas in the northeastern and central part of the state. Trader consensus reflects the district’s consistent partisan lean, with Trahan’s prior general-election margins exceeding 97 percent and Cook Political Report maintaining a Solid D rating. The Republican nominee, Gary Grossi, faces limited visibility and fundraising, while the September 1, 2026, primaries and November general election occur in a state where Democrats have held every House seat for years. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the baseline in recent months. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment capable of overcoming the district’s structural Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$23,107結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lori Trahan seeks re-election in Massachusetts’s 3rd congressional district, a solidly Democratic seat encompassing Lowell, Lawrence, and surrounding areas in the northeastern and central part of the state. Trader consensus reflects the district’s consistent partisan lean, with Trahan’s prior general-election margins exceeding 97 percent and Cook Political Report maintaining a Solid D rating. The Republican nominee, Gary Grossi, faces limited visibility and fundraising, while the September 1, 2026, primaries and November general election occur in a state where Democrats have held every House seat for years. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the baseline in recent months. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment capable of overcoming the district’s structural Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$23,107結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lori Trahan seeks re-election in Massachusetts’s 3rd congressional district, a solidly Democratic seat encompassing Lowell, Lawrence, and surrounding areas in the northeastern and central part of the state. Trader consensus reflects the district’s consistent partisan lean, with Trahan’s prior general-election margins exceeding 97 percent and Cook Political Report maintaining a Solid D rating. The Republican nominee, Gary Grossi, faces limited visibility and fundraising, while the September 1, 2026, primaries and November general election occur in a state where Democrats have held every House seat for years. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the baseline in recent months. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment capable of overcoming the district’s structural Democratic advantage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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