Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely reach 23–24°C under northeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. High pressure maintains stable conditions without significant frontal passages or moisture surges that could alter the diurnal range, consistent with early September climatology for the region. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 24°C and 31.5% for 23°C, incorporates model spread and potential microscale variations near urban heat islands, with limited upside risk for warmer readings absent unexpected wind shifts. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日上海最低溫度？
9月14日上海最低溫度？
24°C 56%
23°C 16%
25°C 10%
22°C 7%
最新
$10,411 交易量
最新
$10,411 交易量
2026-09-14
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
27%
24°C
54%
25°C
20%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
24°C 56%
23°C 16%
25°C 10%
22°C 7%
最新
$10,411 交易量
最新
$10,411 交易量
2026-09-14
19°C或以下
$100 交易量
<1%
20°C
$0 交易量
1%
21°C
$0 交易量
2%
22°C
$1,787 交易量
7%
23°C
$2,828 交易量
27%
24°C
$3,609 交易量
54%
25°C
$1,447 交易量
20%
26°C
$108 交易量
<1%
27°C
$208 交易量
<1%
28°C
$223 交易量
<1%
29°C或更高
$100 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely reach 23–24°C under northeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. High pressure maintains stable conditions without significant frontal passages or moisture surges that could alter the diurnal range, consistent with early September climatology for the region. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 24°C and 31.5% for 23°C, incorporates model spread and potential microscale variations near urban heat islands, with limited upside risk for warmer readings absent unexpected wind shifts. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$10,411結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely reach 23–24°C under northeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. High pressure maintains stable conditions without significant frontal passages or moisture surges that could alter the diurnal range, consistent with early September climatology for the region. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 24°C and 31.5% for 23°C, incorporates model spread and potential microscale variations near urban heat islands, with limited upside risk for warmer readings absent unexpected wind shifts. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,411結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely reach 23–24°C under northeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. High pressure maintains stable conditions without significant frontal passages or moisture surges that could alter the diurnal range, consistent with early September climatology for the region. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 24°C and 31.5% for 23°C, incorporates model spread and potential microscale variations near urban heat islands, with limited upside risk for warmer readings absent unexpected wind shifts. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions