Forecast models from sources like GFS and European agencies currently project a daily maximum of 22–23°C for Munich on September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with westerly winds around 10–15 km/h and afternoon humidity near 45–55%. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C (50% implied probability) and 23°C (26%), as cooler Atlantic air moderates temperatures below the long-term September 13 average high of ~20°C while preventing stronger warming. Light rain developing later today further caps afternoon peaks. Official resolution will hinge on the highest 10-minute or hourly reading from stations such as Munich-Nymphenburg, with minimal model spread supporting the tight clustering around these outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
9月13日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
22°C 50%
23°C 25%
21°C或以下 22%
24°C 4%
$31,237 交易量
$31,237 交易量
2026-09-13
21°C或以下
22%
22°C
50%
23°C
25%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
22°C 50%
23°C 25%
21°C或以下 22%
24°C 4%
$31,237 交易量
$31,237 交易量
2026-09-13
21°C或以下
$8,483 交易量
22%
22°C
$2,261 交易量
50%
23°C
$2,913 交易量
25%
24°C
$7,347 交易量
4%
25°C
$2,899 交易量
1%
26°C
$1,013 交易量
1%
27°C
$868 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,270 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,471 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,527 交易量
<1%
31°C或更高
$1,183 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like GFS and European agencies currently project a daily maximum of 22–23°C for Munich on September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with westerly winds around 10–15 km/h and afternoon humidity near 45–55%. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C (50% implied probability) and 23°C (26%), as cooler Atlantic air moderates temperatures below the long-term September 13 average high of ~20°C while preventing stronger warming. Light rain developing later today further caps afternoon peaks. Official resolution will hinge on the highest 10-minute or hourly reading from stations such as Munich-Nymphenburg, with minimal model spread supporting the tight clustering around these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$31,237結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like GFS and European agencies currently project a daily maximum of 22–23°C for Munich on September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with westerly winds around 10–15 km/h and afternoon humidity near 45–55%. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C (50% implied probability) and 23°C (26%), as cooler Atlantic air moderates temperatures below the long-term September 13 average high of ~20°C while preventing stronger warming. Light rain developing later today further caps afternoon peaks. Official resolution will hinge on the highest 10-minute or hourly reading from stations such as Munich-Nymphenburg, with minimal model spread supporting the tight clustering around these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,237結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from sources like GFS and European agencies currently project a daily maximum of 22–23°C for Munich on September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with westerly winds around 10–15 km/h and afternoon humidity near 45–55%. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C (50% implied probability) and 23°C (26%), as cooler Atlantic air moderates temperatures below the long-term September 13 average high of ~20°C while preventing stronger warming. Light rain developing later today further caps afternoon peaks. Official resolution will hinge on the highest 10-minute or hourly reading from stations such as Munich-Nymphenburg, with minimal model spread supporting the tight clustering around these outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions