**Forecast models and official observations indicate a daily maximum near 24°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating and keeps temperatures close to seasonal norms.** Midday readings hovered around 23–24°C under overcast skies with light westerly winds, consistent with guidance from regional meteorological sources showing highs of 24–25°C and minimal afternoon warming. This strong scientific consensus, backed by multiple model runs and real-time station data, underpins the market’s 93.5% implied probability for 24°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing that could allow additional insolation and push readings to 25–26°C, or minor station-specific variations in the official Incheon measurement used for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
24°C 99.5%
25°C 2%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$43,530 交易量
$43,530 交易量
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
24°C 99.5%
25°C 2%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$43,530 交易量
$43,530 交易量
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models and official observations indicate a daily maximum near 24°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating and keeps temperatures close to seasonal norms.** Midday readings hovered around 23–24°C under overcast skies with light westerly winds, consistent with guidance from regional meteorological sources showing highs of 24–25°C and minimal afternoon warming. This strong scientific consensus, backed by multiple model runs and real-time station data, underpins the market’s 93.5% implied probability for 24°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing that could allow additional insolation and push readings to 25–26°C, or minor station-specific variations in the official Incheon measurement used for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions