Forecast models from the Met Office and global ensembles indicate a maximum of 22–24°C for London on September 13 under persistent cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and scattered drizzle that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 23°C (40.5%) and 22°C (29.5%), reflecting trader weighting of the latest model runs showing modest warming from overnight lows near 17°C. Historical September baselines average 18–19°C, so current mild advection of warmer Atlantic air supports the slight upside to 24°C (16.0% implied). Updated guidance through the day will refine exact maxima, with resolution hinging on official Met Office observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日倫敦的最高溫度?
23°C 41%
22°C 30%
24°C 19%
21°C 8.3%
$29,111 交易量
$29,111 交易量
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
30%
23°C
41%
24°C
19%
25°C
5%
26°C或更高
<1%
23°C 41%
22°C 30%
24°C 19%
21°C 8.3%
$29,111 交易量
$29,111 交易量
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
30%
23°C
41%
24°C
19%
25°C
5%
26°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the Met Office and global ensembles indicate a maximum of 22–24°C for London on September 13 under persistent cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and scattered drizzle that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 23°C (40.5%) and 22°C (29.5%), reflecting trader weighting of the latest model runs showing modest warming from overnight lows near 17°C. Historical September baselines average 18–19°C, so current mild advection of warmer Atlantic air supports the slight upside to 24°C (16.0% implied). Updated guidance through the day will refine exact maxima, with resolution hinging on official Met Office observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions