Recent model consensus points to a cooler air mass advected by strengthening southeasterly winds ahead of a frontal boundary, capping the September 12 maximum near 11–13 °C in Buenos Aires. Persistent cloud cover and modest onshore flow are limiting daytime heating relative to the milder conditions of the prior week, while light precipitation in some runs could further suppress the peak. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF reflect modest uncertainty in exact wind timing and cloud thickness, keeping the 10–14 °C outcomes closely bunched. Updated high-resolution runs and local station observations over the next 48 hours will refine the final maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
11°C 39%
10°C 20%
8°C或以下
2%
9°C
4%
10°C
20%
11°C
39%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
9%
15°C
5%
16°C
6%
17°C
3%
18°C或更高
3%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
11°C 39%
10°C 20%
8°C或以下
2%
9°C
4%
10°C
20%
11°C
39%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
9%
15°C
5%
16°C
6%
17°C
3%
18°C或更高
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus points to a cooler air mass advected by strengthening southeasterly winds ahead of a frontal boundary, capping the September 12 maximum near 11–13 °C in Buenos Aires. Persistent cloud cover and modest onshore flow are limiting daytime heating relative to the milder conditions of the prior week, while light precipitation in some runs could further suppress the peak. Ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF reflect modest uncertainty in exact wind timing and cloud thickness, keeping the 10–14 °C outcomes closely bunched. Updated high-resolution runs and local station observations over the next 48 hours will refine the final maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions