Current forecast models indicate daytime highs near 30–32°C for Panama City on September 12, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the rainy season potentially allowing brief peaks above 33°C. This aligns with the market-implied 50% probability for 33°C or higher, above the September climatological average high of 30–31°C. Recent observations show slightly elevated temperatures amid ongoing convective patterns, while model consensus points to afternoon maxima modulated by cloud cover and sea-breeze effects. Updated runs from regional meteorological agencies will clarify exact timing of any intensification or clearing, directly influencing resolution around the 31–33°C thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴拿馬城9月12日的最高溫度?
33°C或以上 52%
32°C 41%
31°C 39%
30°C 36%
23°C或以下
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
17%
30°C
36%
31°C
39%
32°C
26%
33°C或以上
52%
33°C或以上 52%
32°C 41%
31°C 39%
30°C 36%
23°C或以下
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
17%
30°C
36%
31°C
39%
32°C
26%
33°C或以上
52%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models indicate daytime highs near 30–32°C for Panama City on September 12, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the rainy season potentially allowing brief peaks above 33°C. This aligns with the market-implied 50% probability for 33°C or higher, above the September climatological average high of 30–31°C. Recent observations show slightly elevated temperatures amid ongoing convective patterns, while model consensus points to afternoon maxima modulated by cloud cover and sea-breeze effects. Updated runs from regional meteorological agencies will clarify exact timing of any intensification or clearing, directly influencing resolution around the 31–33°C thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions