Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models project a high near 70°F in San Francisco on September 12 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with breezy west winds. This reflects typical marine influence and a cooling trend after highs reached the mid-90s earlier in the week. Seasonal norms show an average high of about 71°F, with low precipitation risk and no significant warming signals in current guidance. Market-implied odds center on this range, as traders weigh model consensus against potential microclimate variations at official measurement sites; updated NWS briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山9月12日的最高溫度?
68-69°F 40%
70-71°F 40%
72-73°F 39%
59°F或以下 33%
59°F或以下
33%
60-61°F
7%
62-63華氏度
12%
64-65°F
15%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
40%
70-71°F
40%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
5%
78°F或以上
16%
68-69°F 40%
70-71°F 40%
72-73°F 39%
59°F或以下 33%
59°F或以下
33%
60-61°F
7%
62-63華氏度
12%
64-65°F
15%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
40%
70-71°F
40%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
5%
78°F或以上
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 10, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models project a high near 70°F in San Francisco on September 12 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with breezy west winds. This reflects typical marine influence and a cooling trend after highs reached the mid-90s earlier in the week. Seasonal norms show an average high of about 71°F, with low precipitation risk and no significant warming signals in current guidance. Market-implied odds center on this range, as traders weigh model consensus against potential microclimate variations at official measurement sites; updated NWS briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions