**Current forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS runs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, show the daily minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area stabilizing near 20°C overnight into September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and no significant cold advection.** This positioning reflects consistent ensemble outputs placing the low between roughly 19–21°C, aligned with typical mid-September climatology when daytime highs reach the mid-20s°C before nocturnal cooling. Traders assign overwhelming probability to exactly 20°C because official station readings from Incheon International Airport and nearby sites are tracking closely with these projections, with minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated clear-sky radiative cooling event or a sharper-than-expected wind shift that drops readings to 18–19°C, though current pressure patterns and humidity levels make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
9月13日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
20°C 98%
18°C 6%
19°C 2%
17°C <1%
$10,493 交易量
$10,493 交易量
2026-09-13
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
2%
20°C
98%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或以上
<1%
20°C 98%
18°C 6%
19°C 2%
17°C <1%
$10,493 交易量
$10,493 交易量
2026-09-13
16°C或以下
$254 交易量
<1%
17°C
$623 交易量
1%
18°C
$1,025 交易量
6%
19°C
$1,066 交易量
2%
20°C
$3,782 交易量
98%
21°C
$1,913 交易量
<1%
22°C
$311 交易量
<1%
23°C
$220 交易量
<1%
24°C
$490 交易量
<1%
25°C
$474 交易量
<1%
26°C或以上
$337 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS runs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, show the daily minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area stabilizing near 20°C overnight into September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and no significant cold advection.** This positioning reflects consistent ensemble outputs placing the low between roughly 19–21°C, aligned with typical mid-September climatology when daytime highs reach the mid-20s°C before nocturnal cooling. Traders assign overwhelming probability to exactly 20°C because official station readings from Incheon International Airport and nearby sites are tracking closely with these projections, with minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated clear-sky radiative cooling event or a sharper-than-expected wind shift that drops readings to 18–19°C, though current pressure patterns and humidity levels make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$10,493結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS runs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, show the daily minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area stabilizing near 20°C overnight into September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and no significant cold advection.** This positioning reflects consistent ensemble outputs placing the low between roughly 19–21°C, aligned with typical mid-September climatology when daytime highs reach the mid-20s°C before nocturnal cooling. Traders assign overwhelming probability to exactly 20°C because official station readings from Incheon International Airport and nearby sites are tracking closely with these projections, with minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated clear-sky radiative cooling event or a sharper-than-expected wind shift that drops readings to 18–19°C, though current pressure patterns and humidity levels make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,493結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Current forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS runs and Korea Meteorological Administration guidance, show the daily minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area stabilizing near 20°C overnight into September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and no significant cold advection.** This positioning reflects consistent ensemble outputs placing the low between roughly 19–21°C, aligned with typical mid-September climatology when daytime highs reach the mid-20s°C before nocturnal cooling. Traders assign overwhelming probability to exactly 20°C because official station readings from Incheon International Airport and nearby sites are tracking closely with these projections, with minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated clear-sky radiative cooling event or a sharper-than-expected wind shift that drops readings to 18–19°C, though current pressure patterns and humidity levels make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions