**Persistent southerly flow and a strong upper-level ridge have maintained above-normal heat across North Texas, with official NWS forecasts for Dallas on September 12 showing a low near 79°F amid highs around 100°F.** This setup favors minimum temperatures in the upper 70s, aligning with the market's near-even split between the 71°F-or-below bucket (49.5%) and 90°F-or-higher (49.0%). Model guidance shows limited disagreement on frontal timing, with any cold front currently stalled well north and not expected to arrive until later in the week. Historical September lows average 71.5°F, but the ongoing heat wave—with recent daily minima in the upper 70s to low 80s—keeps cooler outcomes dependent on an earlier-than-expected surge of drier, northerly air. Traders appear to weigh residual forecast uncertainty against the strong consensus for continued warmth.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日達拉斯的最低溫度？
9月12日達拉斯的最低溫度？
71°F或以下 100%
華氏90度或以上 93%
82-83°F 40%
72-73華氏度 37%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
71°F或以下
100%
72-73華氏度
37%
74-75°F
37%
76-77°F
37%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
37%
88-89華氏度
37%
華氏90度或以上
93%
71°F或以下 100%
華氏90度或以上 93%
82-83°F 40%
72-73華氏度 37%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
71°F或以下
$0 交易量
100%
72-73華氏度
$0 交易量
37%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
37%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
37%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
27%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
32%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
40%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
37%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
37%
88-89華氏度
$0 交易量
37%
華氏90度或以上
$0 交易量
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southerly flow and a strong upper-level ridge have maintained above-normal heat across North Texas, with official NWS forecasts for Dallas on September 12 showing a low near 79°F amid highs around 100°F.** This setup favors minimum temperatures in the upper 70s, aligning with the market's near-even split between the 71°F-or-below bucket (49.5%) and 90°F-or-higher (49.0%). Model guidance shows limited disagreement on frontal timing, with any cold front currently stalled well north and not expected to arrive until later in the week. Historical September lows average 71.5°F, but the ongoing heat wave—with recent daily minima in the upper 70s to low 80s—keeps cooler outcomes dependent on an earlier-than-expected surge of drier, northerly air. Traders appear to weigh residual forecast uncertainty against the strong consensus for continued warmth.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southerly flow and a strong upper-level ridge have maintained above-normal heat across North Texas, with official NWS forecasts for Dallas on September 12 showing a low near 79°F amid highs around 100°F.** This setup favors minimum temperatures in the upper 70s, aligning with the market's near-even split between the 71°F-or-below bucket (49.5%) and 90°F-or-higher (49.0%). Model guidance shows limited disagreement on frontal timing, with any cold front currently stalled well north and not expected to arrive until later in the week. Historical September lows average 71.5°F, but the ongoing heat wave—with recent daily minima in the upper 70s to low 80s—keeps cooler outcomes dependent on an earlier-than-expected surge of drier, northerly air. Traders appear to weigh residual forecast uncertainty against the strong consensus for continued warmth.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET**Persistent southerly flow and a strong upper-level ridge have maintained above-normal heat across North Texas, with official NWS forecasts for Dallas on September 12 showing a low near 79°F amid highs around 100°F.** This setup favors minimum temperatures in the upper 70s, aligning with the market's near-even split between the 71°F-or-below bucket (49.5%) and 90°F-or-higher (49.0%). Model guidance shows limited disagreement on frontal timing, with any cold front currently stalled well north and not expected to arrive until later in the week. Historical September lows average 71.5°F, but the ongoing heat wave—with recent daily minima in the upper 70s to low 80s—keeps cooler outcomes dependent on an earlier-than-expected surge of drier, northerly air. Traders appear to weigh residual forecast uncertainty against the strong consensus for continued warmth.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions