Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources like the GFS point to a maximum of 26°C in Incheon on September 14, driven by northwesterly winds advecting cooler air and partly cloudy skies limiting peak solar heating. This aligns with a seasonal cooling trend after September highs near 24–25°C, under stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. Historical September averages for the region hover around 25–26°C, supporting trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Minor model spreads introduce limited upside risk for 27°C if afternoon clearing intensifies, while downside to 25°C remains possible with stronger winds or persistent cloud cover. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and hourly observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
9月14日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
26°C 51%
25°C 22%
27°C 20%
24°C 9%
最新
$14,742 交易量
最新
$14,742 交易量
2026-09-14
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
22%
26°C
51%
27°C
20%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
26°C 51%
25°C 22%
27°C 20%
24°C 9%
最新
$14,742 交易量
最新
$14,742 交易量
2026-09-14
20°C或以下
$538 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,832 交易量
<1%
22°C
$750 交易量
1%
23°C
$970 交易量
3%
24°C
$2,015 交易量
9%
25°C
$2,627 交易量
22%
26°C
$2,772 交易量
51%
27°C
$2,132 交易量
20%
28°C
$797 交易量
2%
29°C
$233 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$77 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources like the GFS point to a maximum of 26°C in Incheon on September 14, driven by northwesterly winds advecting cooler air and partly cloudy skies limiting peak solar heating. This aligns with a seasonal cooling trend after September highs near 24–25°C, under stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. Historical September averages for the region hover around 25–26°C, supporting trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Minor model spreads introduce limited upside risk for 27°C if afternoon clearing intensifies, while downside to 25°C remains possible with stronger winds or persistent cloud cover. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and hourly observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$14,742結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources like the GFS point to a maximum of 26°C in Incheon on September 14, driven by northwesterly winds advecting cooler air and partly cloudy skies limiting peak solar heating. This aligns with a seasonal cooling trend after September highs near 24–25°C, under stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. Historical September averages for the region hover around 25–26°C, supporting trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Minor model spreads introduce limited upside risk for 27°C if afternoon clearing intensifies, while downside to 25°C remains possible with stronger winds or persistent cloud cover. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and hourly observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,742結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts and model consensus from sources like the GFS point to a maximum of 26°C in Incheon on September 14, driven by northwesterly winds advecting cooler air and partly cloudy skies limiting peak solar heating. This aligns with a seasonal cooling trend after September highs near 24–25°C, under stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. Historical September averages for the region hover around 25–26°C, supporting trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Minor model spreads introduce limited upside risk for 27°C if afternoon clearing intensifies, while downside to 25°C remains possible with stronger winds or persistent cloud cover. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and hourly observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions