Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and numerical models positions Dallas for a sunny, hot day on September 13 with a high near 100°F under southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 98-101°F outcomes, reflecting above-average late-summer conditions where the climatological normal high sits near 90°F. Heat indices may reach 106°F amid moderate humidity, though exact peak readings depend on afternoon mixing and any subtle steering changes. Traders appear to discount outlier runs favoring 102°F or higher given model agreement and the absence of stronger ridging. Official observations, typically from DFW International Airport, will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日達拉斯的最高溫度?
98-99°F 59%
100-101°F 38%
102-103°F 4%
96-97°F 2%
$26,256 交易量
$26,256 交易量
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
59%
100-101°F
38%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F或以上
<1%
98-99°F 59%
100-101°F 38%
102-103°F 4%
96-97°F 2%
$26,256 交易量
$26,256 交易量
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
59%
100-101°F
38%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and numerical models positions Dallas for a sunny, hot day on September 13 with a high near 100°F under southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 98-101°F outcomes, reflecting above-average late-summer conditions where the climatological normal high sits near 90°F. Heat indices may reach 106°F amid moderate humidity, though exact peak readings depend on afternoon mixing and any subtle steering changes. Traders appear to discount outlier runs favoring 102°F or higher given model agreement and the absence of stronger ridging. Official observations, typically from DFW International Airport, will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions