Official forecasts from agencies tracking Taipei's conditions point to a daytime maximum of 34°C on September 13, driven by typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, easterly flow, and limited cloud cover that allows strong solar heating without significant afternoon convection. Multiple numerical weather prediction runs converge on this value, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when average highs hover near 31–32°C but can edge higher under stable, humid air masses. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window for official station readings. Only a late-day shift in steering patterns, unexpected thunderstorm development, or measurement anomaly could push the peak outside the 34°C threshold, though current observations show little sign of such deviation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日臺北氣溫最高?
34°C 99.9%
35°C <1%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
$28,377 交易量
$28,377 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或以上
<1%
34°C 99.9%
35°C <1%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
$28,377 交易量
$28,377 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from agencies tracking Taipei's conditions point to a daytime maximum of 34°C on September 13, driven by typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, easterly flow, and limited cloud cover that allows strong solar heating without significant afternoon convection. Multiple numerical weather prediction runs converge on this value, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when average highs hover near 31–32°C but can edge higher under stable, humid air masses. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability reflects this model agreement and the narrow resolution window for official station readings. Only a late-day shift in steering patterns, unexpected thunderstorm development, or measurement anomaly could push the peak outside the 34°C threshold, though current observations show little sign of such deviation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions