**Trader consensus on a 40°C peak for Karachi on September 13, 2026, reflects real-time forecast data showing daytime maxima near or at that threshold.** Multiple numerical weather prediction outputs, including high-resolution runs, indicate peak surface temperatures of 38–41°C (roughly 100–106°F) under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light to moderate westerly flow, and dew points in the low-to-mid 20s°C that support strong sensible heat. This aligns with climatological patterns for mid-September in coastal Sindh, where clear conditions and suppressed monsoon influence allow rapid afternoon heating before any evening stabilization. Official monitoring networks and station observations through the afternoon have already approached or touched 40°C at key sites, reinforcing the market-implied odds. A lower recorded maximum could occur if localized cloud build-up, slightly stronger sea-breeze effects, or revised post-processing at the primary reporting station caps the peak below the threshold; conversely, any upward model adjustment or hotter microclimate reading would further entrench the current positioning ahead of final daily verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日卡拉奇的最高溫度?
40°C 100.0%
31°C或以下 <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$34,543 交易量
$34,543 交易量
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
100%
41°C或更高
<1%
40°C 100.0%
31°C或以下 <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$34,543 交易量
$34,543 交易量
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
100%
41°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus on a 40°C peak for Karachi on September 13, 2026, reflects real-time forecast data showing daytime maxima near or at that threshold.** Multiple numerical weather prediction outputs, including high-resolution runs, indicate peak surface temperatures of 38–41°C (roughly 100–106°F) under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light to moderate westerly flow, and dew points in the low-to-mid 20s°C that support strong sensible heat. This aligns with climatological patterns for mid-September in coastal Sindh, where clear conditions and suppressed monsoon influence allow rapid afternoon heating before any evening stabilization. Official monitoring networks and station observations through the afternoon have already approached or touched 40°C at key sites, reinforcing the market-implied odds. A lower recorded maximum could occur if localized cloud build-up, slightly stronger sea-breeze effects, or revised post-processing at the primary reporting station caps the peak below the threshold; conversely, any upward model adjustment or hotter microclimate reading would further entrench the current positioning ahead of final daily verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions