Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance place the day's high temperature for New York City in the upper 70s to low 80s, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 78-79°F and adjacent bins. A frontal system delivering morning thunderstorms and heavy rain, followed by mostly cloudy afternoon conditions, is limiting daytime heating under northeast to northwest winds. This setup keeps readings near or slightly above the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 77.5°F while suppressing potential for stronger late-summer warmth. Updated model runs through midday show limited upside risk above 81°F given persistent cloud cover and precipitation, supporting the current trader consensus around the 76-81°F range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市9月13日的最高溫度？
紐約市9月13日的最高溫度？
78-79°F 36%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 24%
82-83°F 8%
$33,359 交易量
$33,359 交易量
2026-09-13
73°F 或以下
3%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
2%
86-87華氏度
1%
88-89華氏度
<1%
90-91華氏度
<1%
華氏92度或以上
<1%
78-79°F 36%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 24%
82-83°F 8%
$33,359 交易量
$33,359 交易量
2026-09-13
73°F 或以下
$3,209 交易量
3%
74-75°F
$4,874 交易量
6%
76-77°F
$4,702 交易量
24%
78-79°F
$6,311 交易量
36%
80-81°F
$3,823 交易量
26%
82-83°F
$5,192 交易量
8%
84-85°F
$2,575 交易量
2%
86-87華氏度
$1,211 交易量
1%
88-89華氏度
$942 交易量
<1%
90-91華氏度
$137 交易量
<1%
華氏92度或以上
$382 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance place the day's high temperature for New York City in the upper 70s to low 80s, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 78-79°F and adjacent bins. A frontal system delivering morning thunderstorms and heavy rain, followed by mostly cloudy afternoon conditions, is limiting daytime heating under northeast to northwest winds. This setup keeps readings near or slightly above the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 77.5°F while suppressing potential for stronger late-summer warmth. Updated model runs through midday show limited upside risk above 81°F given persistent cloud cover and precipitation, supporting the current trader consensus around the 76-81°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
交易量
$33,359結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 3:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance place the day's high temperature for New York City in the upper 70s to low 80s, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 78-79°F and adjacent bins. A frontal system delivering morning thunderstorms and heavy rain, followed by mostly cloudy afternoon conditions, is limiting daytime heating under northeast to northwest winds. This setup keeps readings near or slightly above the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 77.5°F while suppressing potential for stronger late-summer warmth. Updated model runs through midday show limited upside risk above 81°F given persistent cloud cover and precipitation, supporting the current trader consensus around the 76-81°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,359結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 3:55 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance place the day's high temperature for New York City in the upper 70s to low 80s, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 78-79°F and adjacent bins. A frontal system delivering morning thunderstorms and heavy rain, followed by mostly cloudy afternoon conditions, is limiting daytime heating under northeast to northwest winds. This setup keeps readings near or slightly above the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 77.5°F while suppressing potential for stronger late-summer warmth. Updated model runs through midday show limited upside risk above 81°F given persistent cloud cover and precipitation, supporting the current trader consensus around the 76-81°F range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions