Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a Monday minimum near 63–64°F in New York City, driven by clear skies after Sunday’s frontal passage and northwest winds of 10–15 mph that promote radiational cooling overnight. The 64–65°F and 66–67°F bins dominate trader positioning because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and exact wind speeds can shift the realized low by 1–2°F. With resolution hinging on the official Central Park observation, the tight spread between the two leading outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the final model runs before the overnight period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日紐約市的最低溫度？
9月14日紐約市的最低溫度？
66-67°F 43%
64-65°F 37%
62-63°F 9%
68-69°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
華氏57度或以下
1%
58-59華氏度
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
37%
66-67°F
43%
68-69°F
9%
70-71華氏度
1%
72-73華氏度
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F或以上
<1%
66-67°F 43%
64-65°F 37%
62-63°F 9%
68-69°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
華氏57度或以下
$336 交易量
1%
58-59華氏度
$107 交易量
1%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
2%
62-63°F
$712 交易量
9%
64-65°F
$1,070 交易量
37%
66-67°F
$1,622 交易量
43%
68-69°F
$383 交易量
9%
70-71華氏度
$17 交易量
1%
72-73華氏度
$17 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$107 交易量
<1%
76°F或以上
$107 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a Monday minimum near 63–64°F in New York City, driven by clear skies after Sunday’s frontal passage and northwest winds of 10–15 mph that promote radiational cooling overnight. The 64–65°F and 66–67°F bins dominate trader positioning because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and exact wind speeds can shift the realized low by 1–2°F. With resolution hinging on the official Central Park observation, the tight spread between the two leading outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the final model runs before the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$4,479結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a Monday minimum near 63–64°F in New York City, driven by clear skies after Sunday’s frontal passage and northwest winds of 10–15 mph that promote radiational cooling overnight. The 64–65°F and 66–67°F bins dominate trader positioning because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and exact wind speeds can shift the realized low by 1–2°F. With resolution hinging on the official Central Park observation, the tight spread between the two leading outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the final model runs before the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,479結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a Monday minimum near 63–64°F in New York City, driven by clear skies after Sunday’s frontal passage and northwest winds of 10–15 mph that promote radiational cooling overnight. The 64–65°F and 66–67°F bins dominate trader positioning because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and exact wind speeds can shift the realized low by 1–2°F. With resolution hinging on the official Central Park observation, the tight spread between the two leading outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the final model runs before the overnight period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions