**Trader sentiment for Chicago's September 13 high centers on the 72–75°F range, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast and model consensus for a moderated peak amid northwest flow and increasing clouds.** Official guidance from NWS Chicago calls for a high near 72°F, with morning sunshine giving way to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers by afternoon as a front influences the area. Early readings in the upper 60s support limited daytime warming, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when average highs run around 77°F but recent steering patterns have favored cooler Canadian air. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering in the low-to-mid 70s, with minimal upside risk from stronger mixing or clearing. Higher bins (76°F+) carry lower implied odds because sustained southerly flow or delayed cloud cover would be needed to exceed model consensus, while sub-72°F outcomes appear unlikely absent stronger northerly advection. Updated short-range model runs and surface observations through midday will be the key near-term drivers for any late shifts in these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日芝加哥的最高溫度？
9月13日芝加哥的最高溫度？
74-75°F 51%
72-73°F 24%
76-77°F 20%
78-79°F 3%
$12,682 交易量
$12,682 交易量
2026-09-13
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
51%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
華氏86度或以上
<1%
74-75°F 51%
72-73°F 24%
76-77°F 20%
78-79°F 3%
$12,682 交易量
$12,682 交易量
2026-09-13
67°F或以下
$235 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$363 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$5,178 交易量
2%
72-73°F
$1,439 交易量
24%
74-75°F
$2,159 交易量
51%
76-77°F
$1,595 交易量
20%
78-79°F
$859 交易量
3%
80-81°F
$191 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$325 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$125 交易量
<1%
華氏86度或以上
$213 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Chicago's September 13 high centers on the 72–75°F range, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast and model consensus for a moderated peak amid northwest flow and increasing clouds.**
Official guidance from NWS Chicago calls for a high near 72°F, with morning sunshine giving way to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers by afternoon as a front influences the area. Early readings in the upper 60s support limited daytime warming, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when average highs run around 77°F but recent steering patterns have favored cooler Canadian air.
Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering in the low-to-mid 70s, with minimal upside risk from stronger mixing or clearing. Higher bins (76°F+) carry lower implied odds because sustained southerly flow or delayed cloud cover would be needed to exceed model consensus, while sub-72°F outcomes appear unlikely absent stronger northerly advection. Updated short-range model runs and surface observations through midday will be the key near-term drivers for any late shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$12,682結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Chicago's September 13 high centers on the 72–75°F range, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast and model consensus for a moderated peak amid northwest flow and increasing clouds.**
Official guidance from NWS Chicago calls for a high near 72°F, with morning sunshine giving way to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers by afternoon as a front influences the area. Early readings in the upper 60s support limited daytime warming, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when average highs run around 77°F but recent steering patterns have favored cooler Canadian air.
Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering in the low-to-mid 70s, with minimal upside risk from stronger mixing or clearing. Higher bins (76°F+) carry lower implied odds because sustained southerly flow or delayed cloud cover would be needed to exceed model consensus, while sub-72°F outcomes appear unlikely absent stronger northerly advection. Updated short-range model runs and surface observations through midday will be the key near-term drivers for any late shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,682結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Chicago's September 13 high centers on the 72–75°F range, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast and model consensus for a moderated peak amid northwest flow and increasing clouds.** Official guidance from NWS Chicago calls for a high near 72°F, with morning sunshine giving way to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers by afternoon as a front influences the area. Early readings in the upper 60s support limited daytime warming, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when average highs run around 77°F but recent steering patterns have favored cooler Canadian air. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering in the low-to-mid 70s, with minimal upside risk from stronger mixing or clearing. Higher bins (76°F+) carry lower implied odds because sustained southerly flow or delayed cloud cover would be needed to exceed model consensus, while sub-72°F outcomes appear unlikely absent stronger northerly advection. Updated short-range model runs and surface observations through midday will be the key near-term drivers for any late shifts in these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions