Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and global ensembles indicate an overnight low of 70–71°F for New York City on September 13, driven by persistent humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. Surface observations through midday show dew points near 70°F and minimal temperature drop after sunset, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September under similar synoptic patterns. This supports the market-implied odds exceeding 97% for the 70–71°F bin. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger northwest winds could enhance cooling and push the low into the upper 60s, though model consensus shows low probability of such shifts before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日紐約市的最低溫度？
9月13日紐約市的最低溫度？
70-71°F 97%
68-69華氏度 2%
66-67°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$11,412 交易量
$11,412 交易量
2026-09-13
華氏63度或以下
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69華氏度
2%
70-71°F
97%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F或以上
<1%
70-71°F 97%
68-69華氏度 2%
66-67°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$11,412 交易量
$11,412 交易量
2026-09-13
華氏63度或以下
$1,830 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$721 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$508 交易量
1%
68-69華氏度
$1,223 交易量
2%
70-71°F
$1,301 交易量
97%
72-73°F
$3,473 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$1,433 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$193 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$506 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$112 交易量
<1%
82°F或以上
$112 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and global ensembles indicate an overnight low of 70–71°F for New York City on September 13, driven by persistent humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. Surface observations through midday show dew points near 70°F and minimal temperature drop after sunset, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September under similar synoptic patterns. This supports the market-implied odds exceeding 97% for the 70–71°F bin. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger northwest winds could enhance cooling and push the low into the upper 60s, though model consensus shows low probability of such shifts before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$11,412結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and global ensembles indicate an overnight low of 70–71°F for New York City on September 13, driven by persistent humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. Surface observations through midday show dew points near 70°F and minimal temperature drop after sunset, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September under similar synoptic patterns. This supports the market-implied odds exceeding 97% for the 70–71°F bin. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger northwest winds could enhance cooling and push the low into the upper 60s, though model consensus shows low probability of such shifts before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,412結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETCurrent forecast models from the National Weather Service and global ensembles indicate an overnight low of 70–71°F for New York City on September 13, driven by persistent humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. Surface observations through midday show dew points near 70°F and minimal temperature drop after sunset, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September under similar synoptic patterns. This supports the market-implied odds exceeding 97% for the 70–71°F bin. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger northwest winds could enhance cooling and push the low into the upper 60s, though model consensus shows low probability of such shifts before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions