Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show clear skies and southerly winds over Qingdao on September 15, supporting daily highs near 26–28°C amid stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover that maximizes solar heating. These conditions align with climatological September averages around 26°C but leave room for slight upward revisions if advection strengthens or local observations peak higher. Trader positioning favoring 30–31°C likely incorporates uncertainty in short-range model runs and the potential for warmer boundary-layer mixing near the coast, while lower outcomes reflect risks of earlier cooling or measurement variability at official stations. Updated guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will refine these implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日青島氣溫最高？
9月15日青島氣溫最高？
31°C 46%
30°C 33%
32°C或以上 19%
29°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
22°C或以下
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
6%
30°C
33%
31°C
46%
32°C或以上
19%
31°C 46%
30°C 33%
32°C或以上 19%
29°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
22°C或以下
$10 交易量
2%
23°C
$10 交易量
2%
24°C
$10 交易量
2%
25°C
$10 交易量
2%
26°C
$10 交易量
4%
27°C
$68 交易量
1%
28°C
$60 交易量
4%
29°C
$60 交易量
6%
30°C
$101 交易量
33%
31°C
$142 交易量
46%
32°C或以上
$536 交易量
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show clear skies and southerly winds over Qingdao on September 15, supporting daily highs near 26–28°C amid stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover that maximizes solar heating. These conditions align with climatological September averages around 26°C but leave room for slight upward revisions if advection strengthens or local observations peak higher. Trader positioning favoring 30–31°C likely incorporates uncertainty in short-range model runs and the potential for warmer boundary-layer mixing near the coast, while lower outcomes reflect risks of earlier cooling or measurement variability at official stations. Updated guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
交易量
$1,016結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show clear skies and southerly winds over Qingdao on September 15, supporting daily highs near 26–28°C amid stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover that maximizes solar heating. These conditions align with climatological September averages around 26°C but leave room for slight upward revisions if advection strengthens or local observations peak higher. Trader positioning favoring 30–31°C likely incorporates uncertainty in short-range model runs and the potential for warmer boundary-layer mixing near the coast, while lower outcomes reflect risks of earlier cooling or measurement variability at official stations. Updated guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,016結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETRecent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show clear skies and southerly winds over Qingdao on September 15, supporting daily highs near 26–28°C amid stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover that maximizes solar heating. These conditions align with climatological September averages around 26°C but leave room for slight upward revisions if advection strengthens or local observations peak higher. Trader positioning favoring 30–31°C likely incorporates uncertainty in short-range model runs and the potential for warmer boundary-layer mixing near the coast, while lower outcomes reflect risks of earlier cooling or measurement variability at official stations. Updated guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will refine these implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions