**Forecast models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) and international sources indicate a high near 31°C for Taipei on September 14, driven by northeasterly winds advecting moist air and promoting cloud cover with scattered showers that limit daytime heating.** This setup follows recent heavy rain advisories across northern Taiwan, where enhanced moisture has already suppressed peaks relative to earlier September warmth. Historical September averages hover around 30–31°C, providing context for the current outlook, though model consensus shows some spread due to variable shower timing and intensity. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 32°C (44.5%) over 31°C (18.5%) reflect expectations of brief clearing allowing slight exceedance of official guidance, with lower odds on 33°C+ underscoring uncertainty in afternoon convective development. Updated CWA briefings and regional model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日臺北氣溫最高？
9月14日臺北氣溫最高？
32°C 44%
33°C 22%
31°C 18%
34°C 5%
最新
$10,788 交易量
最新
$10,788 交易量
2026-09-14
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
18%
32°C
44%
33°C
22%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
3%
37°C或更高
<1%
32°C 44%
33°C 22%
31°C 18%
34°C 5%
最新
$10,788 交易量
最新
$10,788 交易量
2026-09-14
27°C或以下
$280 交易量
1%
28°C
$629 交易量
1%
29°C
$814 交易量
2%
30°C
$1,197 交易量
5%
31°C
$2,997 交易量
18%
32°C
$1,611 交易量
44%
33°C
$1,431 交易量
22%
34°C
$1,481 交易量
5%
35°C
$74 交易量
2%
36°C
$31 交易量
3%
37°C或更高
$242 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) and international sources indicate a high near 31°C for Taipei on September 14, driven by northeasterly winds advecting moist air and promoting cloud cover with scattered showers that limit daytime heating.** This setup follows recent heavy rain advisories across northern Taiwan, where enhanced moisture has already suppressed peaks relative to earlier September warmth. Historical September averages hover around 30–31°C, providing context for the current outlook, though model consensus shows some spread due to variable shower timing and intensity. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 32°C (44.5%) over 31°C (18.5%) reflect expectations of brief clearing allowing slight exceedance of official guidance, with lower odds on 33°C+ underscoring uncertainty in afternoon convective development. Updated CWA briefings and regional model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$10,788結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) and international sources indicate a high near 31°C for Taipei on September 14, driven by northeasterly winds advecting moist air and promoting cloud cover with scattered showers that limit daytime heating.** This setup follows recent heavy rain advisories across northern Taiwan, where enhanced moisture has already suppressed peaks relative to earlier September warmth. Historical September averages hover around 30–31°C, providing context for the current outlook, though model consensus shows some spread due to variable shower timing and intensity. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 32°C (44.5%) over 31°C (18.5%) reflect expectations of brief clearing allowing slight exceedance of official guidance, with lower odds on 33°C+ underscoring uncertainty in afternoon convective development. Updated CWA briefings and regional model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,788結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Forecast models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) and international sources indicate a high near 31°C for Taipei on September 14, driven by northeasterly winds advecting moist air and promoting cloud cover with scattered showers that limit daytime heating.** This setup follows recent heavy rain advisories across northern Taiwan, where enhanced moisture has already suppressed peaks relative to earlier September warmth. Historical September averages hover around 30–31°C, providing context for the current outlook, though model consensus shows some spread due to variable shower timing and intensity. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 32°C (44.5%) over 31°C (18.5%) reflect expectations of brief clearing allowing slight exceedance of official guidance, with lower odds on 33°C+ underscoring uncertainty in afternoon convective development. Updated CWA briefings and regional model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions