Current numerical weather prediction models position 27°C as the dominant outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 20, reflecting late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity and extensive cloud cover that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Official guidance and extended forecasts consistently show overnight lows near 26–27°C (79–81°F), aligned with seasonal baselines where August minima rarely deviate sharply without strong frontal systems or typhoon influences. Recent model runs indicate stable steering patterns and moderate winds, reducing the likelihood of cooler advection, while traders’ heavy weighting toward 27°C captures this consensus amid typical diurnal ranges of 30–32°C highs. Resolution hinges on official station measurements, with any last-minute convective activity or data revisions as the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities before tomorrow’s close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日上海最低溫度？
8月20日上海最低溫度？
27°C 80%
26°C 10%
28°C 4%
25°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
10%
27°C
80%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 80%
26°C 10%
28°C 4%
25°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
22°C或以下
$208 交易量
<1%
23°C
$233 交易量
<1%
24°C
$106 交易量
1%
25°C
$207 交易量
2%
26°C
$1,167 交易量
10%
27°C
$1,666 交易量
80%
28°C
$3,301 交易量
4%
29°C
$301 交易量
1%
30°C
$334 交易量
<1%
31°C
$331 交易量
<1%
32°C或以上
$297 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models position 27°C as the dominant outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 20, reflecting late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity and extensive cloud cover that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Official guidance and extended forecasts consistently show overnight lows near 26–27°C (79–81°F), aligned with seasonal baselines where August minima rarely deviate sharply without strong frontal systems or typhoon influences. Recent model runs indicate stable steering patterns and moderate winds, reducing the likelihood of cooler advection, while traders’ heavy weighting toward 27°C captures this consensus amid typical diurnal ranges of 30–32°C highs. Resolution hinges on official station measurements, with any last-minute convective activity or data revisions as the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities before tomorrow’s close.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$8,152結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models position 27°C as the dominant outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 20, reflecting late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity and extensive cloud cover that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Official guidance and extended forecasts consistently show overnight lows near 26–27°C (79–81°F), aligned with seasonal baselines where August minima rarely deviate sharply without strong frontal systems or typhoon influences. Recent model runs indicate stable steering patterns and moderate winds, reducing the likelihood of cooler advection, while traders’ heavy weighting toward 27°C captures this consensus amid typical diurnal ranges of 30–32°C highs. Resolution hinges on official station measurements, with any last-minute convective activity or data revisions as the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities before tomorrow’s close.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,152結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETCurrent numerical weather prediction models position 27°C as the dominant outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 20, reflecting late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity and extensive cloud cover that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Official guidance and extended forecasts consistently show overnight lows near 26–27°C (79–81°F), aligned with seasonal baselines where August minima rarely deviate sharply without strong frontal systems or typhoon influences. Recent model runs indicate stable steering patterns and moderate winds, reducing the likelihood of cooler advection, while traders’ heavy weighting toward 27°C captures this consensus amid typical diurnal ranges of 30–32°C highs. Resolution hinges on official station measurements, with any last-minute convective activity or data revisions as the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities before tomorrow’s close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions