Numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and other agencies form the core driver of trader sentiment, consistently projecting Moscow's August 21 daytime maximum near 22–23°C under typical late-summer atmospheric conditions with moderate high pressure and limited moisture advection. These forecasts align with climatological August averages around 20–22°C and show strong consensus across recent model runs, reducing spread in the 48-hour window before resolution. Minor uncertainties remain from possible cloud cover or localized wind shifts that could trim or boost the peak by 1°C, while longer-range historical analogs and current ensemble outputs reinforce the narrow 21–23°C cluster as the highest-probability band. Market-implied odds aggregate this model evidence with trader assessment of forecast reliability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日莫斯科的最高溫度？
8月21日莫斯科的最高溫度？
23°C 45%
22°C 33%
21°C 11%
24°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
11%
22°C
33%
23°C
45%
24°C
10%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
2%
23°C 45%
22°C 33%
21°C 11%
24°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
16°C or below
$593 交易量
<1%
17°C
$393 交易量
<1%
18°C
$127 交易量
<1%
19°C
$20 交易量
2%
20°C
$25 交易量
3%
21°C
$14 交易量
11%
22°C
$66 交易量
33%
23°C
$452 交易量
45%
24°C
$58 交易量
10%
25°C
$35 交易量
3%
26°C or higher
$162 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and other agencies form the core driver of trader sentiment, consistently projecting Moscow's August 21 daytime maximum near 22–23°C under typical late-summer atmospheric conditions with moderate high pressure and limited moisture advection. These forecasts align with climatological August averages around 20–22°C and show strong consensus across recent model runs, reducing spread in the 48-hour window before resolution. Minor uncertainties remain from possible cloud cover or localized wind shifts that could trim or boost the peak by 1°C, while longer-range historical analogs and current ensemble outputs reinforce the narrow 21–23°C cluster as the highest-probability band. Market-implied odds aggregate this model evidence with trader assessment of forecast reliability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$1,944結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and other agencies form the core driver of trader sentiment, consistently projecting Moscow's August 21 daytime maximum near 22–23°C under typical late-summer atmospheric conditions with moderate high pressure and limited moisture advection. These forecasts align with climatological August averages around 20–22°C and show strong consensus across recent model runs, reducing spread in the 48-hour window before resolution. Minor uncertainties remain from possible cloud cover or localized wind shifts that could trim or boost the peak by 1°C, while longer-range historical analogs and current ensemble outputs reinforce the narrow 21–23°C cluster as the highest-probability band. Market-implied odds aggregate this model evidence with trader assessment of forecast reliability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,944結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and other agencies form the core driver of trader sentiment, consistently projecting Moscow's August 21 daytime maximum near 22–23°C under typical late-summer atmospheric conditions with moderate high pressure and limited moisture advection. These forecasts align with climatological August averages around 20–22°C and show strong consensus across recent model runs, reducing spread in the 48-hour window before resolution. Minor uncertainties remain from possible cloud cover or localized wind shifts that could trim or boost the peak by 1°C, while longer-range historical analogs and current ensemble outputs reinforce the narrow 21–23°C cluster as the highest-probability band. Market-implied odds aggregate this model evidence with trader assessment of forecast reliability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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