Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources point to daytime highs of 32–35 °C in Guangzhou on August 21, consistent with subtropical monsoon climatology featuring high humidity, weak northeasterly flow, and scattered afternoon convection that often caps peaks. Recent short-range guidance shows light rain or overcast conditions moderating insolation, keeping readings from exceeding 36 °C while preventing drops below 32 °C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 33–35 °C because small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, or localized heating under brief clear spells can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C; resolution hinges on official station observations, with fresh model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日廣州最高溫度?
34°C 28%
33°C 24%
35°C 21%
32°C 15%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
7%
32°C
15%
33°C
24%
34°C
28%
35°C
21%
36°C
8%
37°C或以上
<1%
34°C 28%
33°C 24%
35°C 21%
32°C 15%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
7%
32°C
15%
33°C
24%
34°C
28%
35°C
21%
36°C
8%
37°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources point to daytime highs of 32–35 °C in Guangzhou on August 21, consistent with subtropical monsoon climatology featuring high humidity, weak northeasterly flow, and scattered afternoon convection that often caps peaks. Recent short-range guidance shows light rain or overcast conditions moderating insolation, keeping readings from exceeding 36 °C while preventing drops below 32 °C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 33–35 °C because small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer moisture, or localized heating under brief clear spells can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C; resolution hinges on official station observations, with fresh model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions