Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate partly cloudy conditions with scattered afternoon showers likely on August 21 in Chengdu's humid subtropical climate, driving trader consensus toward 31–33°C as the most probable daily maximum. The Sichuan Basin's topography traps moisture and heat while limiting ventilation, so peak temperatures hinge on cloud cover timing and convective development that can suppress radiative heating by several degrees. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term variability in humidity and precipitation timing creates the tight spread around these outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of the weekend will refine the outlook for this high-uncertainty window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日成都最高溫度？
8月21日成都最高溫度？
33°C 30%
32°C 24%
31°C 23%
34°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
7%
30°C
12%
31°C
23%
32°C
24%
33°C
30%
34°C
16%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 30%
32°C 24%
31°C 23%
34°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
26°C or below
$126 交易量
<1%
27°C
$35 交易量
3%
28°C
$75 交易量
5%
29°C
$34 交易量
7%
30°C
$50 交易量
12%
31°C
$39 交易量
23%
32°C
$10 交易量
24%
33°C
$39 交易量
30%
34°C
$8 交易量
16%
35°C
$81 交易量
1%
36°C or higher
$25 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate partly cloudy conditions with scattered afternoon showers likely on August 21 in Chengdu's humid subtropical climate, driving trader consensus toward 31–33°C as the most probable daily maximum. The Sichuan Basin's topography traps moisture and heat while limiting ventilation, so peak temperatures hinge on cloud cover timing and convective development that can suppress radiative heating by several degrees. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term variability in humidity and precipitation timing creates the tight spread around these outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of the weekend will refine the outlook for this high-uncertainty window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$523結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate partly cloudy conditions with scattered afternoon showers likely on August 21 in Chengdu's humid subtropical climate, driving trader consensus toward 31–33°C as the most probable daily maximum. The Sichuan Basin's topography traps moisture and heat while limiting ventilation, so peak temperatures hinge on cloud cover timing and convective development that can suppress radiative heating by several degrees. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term variability in humidity and precipitation timing creates the tight spread around these outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of the weekend will refine the outlook for this high-uncertainty window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$523結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate partly cloudy conditions with scattered afternoon showers likely on August 21 in Chengdu's humid subtropical climate, driving trader consensus toward 31–33°C as the most probable daily maximum. The Sichuan Basin's topography traps moisture and heat while limiting ventilation, so peak temperatures hinge on cloud cover timing and convective development that can suppress radiative heating by several degrees. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term variability in humidity and precipitation timing creates the tight spread around these outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of the weekend will refine the outlook for this high-uncertainty window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions