**Clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and strong radiative cooling overnight have positioned the minimum temperature in Madrid near 14°C on August 30, 2026, according to AEMET guidance and numerical model consensus.** Official observations from central stations show early-morning readings bottoming around 16–18°C before sunrise, with forecasts holding the daily low in the 16–17°C range under dry conditions and dew points near 10°C. This aligns with late-August climatology while reflecting the absence of cloud cover or advection that would limit nocturnal cooling. Trader consensus at 99.5% for 14°C reflects high confidence in these stable atmospheric conditions, though minor revisions could occur if urban heat-island effects or slight wind increases raise the recorded minimum above the threshold before midnight. Final AEMET hourly data at day’s end will confirm resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日馬德裏最低氣溫?
14°C 99.5%
13°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$2,252 交易量
$2,252 交易量
13°C or below
1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.5%
13°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$2,252 交易量
$2,252 交易量
13°C or below
1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and strong radiative cooling overnight have positioned the minimum temperature in Madrid near 14°C on August 30, 2026, according to AEMET guidance and numerical model consensus.** Official observations from central stations show early-morning readings bottoming around 16–18°C before sunrise, with forecasts holding the daily low in the 16–17°C range under dry conditions and dew points near 10°C. This aligns with late-August climatology while reflecting the absence of cloud cover or advection that would limit nocturnal cooling. Trader consensus at 99.5% for 14°C reflects high confidence in these stable atmospheric conditions, though minor revisions could occur if urban heat-island effects or slight wind increases raise the recorded minimum above the threshold before midnight. Final AEMET hourly data at day’s end will confirm resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions