**Trader consensus on a 33°C high for Madrid on August 30, 2026, reflects near-unanimous forecasts from AEMET and other models showing clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and maxima of 32–34°C across the region.** Official guidance places Madrid capital at 32°C with nearby stations reaching 33–34°C, consistent with late-summer patterns where daytime heating peaks under anticyclonic conditions without significant moisture or cloud cover. Historical averages for the date hover near 30°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by persistent warm advection. The 99.5% market-implied probability aligns with this consensus, though actual readings could shift slightly if urban heat-island effects or station-specific measurements differ from the primary forecast grid. New observational data or updated model runs through the evening could still influence final verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日馬德裏氣溫最高？
8月30日馬德裏氣溫最高？
33°C 99.6%
34°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$28,317 交易量
$28,317 交易量
2026-08-30
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.6%
34°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$28,317 交易量
$28,317 交易量
2026-08-30
28°C or below
$1,363 交易量
<1%
29°C
$292 交易量
<1%
30°C
$500 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,079 交易量
<1%
32°C
$7,400 交易量
<1%
33°C
$6,964 交易量
100%
34°C
$7,158 交易量
1%
35°C
$1,815 交易量
<1%
36°C
$494 交易量
<1%
37°C
$1,062 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$191 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 33°C high for Madrid on August 30, 2026, reflects near-unanimous forecasts from AEMET and other models showing clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and maxima of 32–34°C across the region.** Official guidance places Madrid capital at 32°C with nearby stations reaching 33–34°C, consistent with late-summer patterns where daytime heating peaks under anticyclonic conditions without significant moisture or cloud cover. Historical averages for the date hover near 30°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by persistent warm advection. The 99.5% market-implied probability aligns with this consensus, though actual readings could shift slightly if urban heat-island effects or station-specific measurements differ from the primary forecast grid. New observational data or updated model runs through the evening could still influence final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$28,317結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 33°C high for Madrid on August 30, 2026, reflects near-unanimous forecasts from AEMET and other models showing clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and maxima of 32–34°C across the region.** Official guidance places Madrid capital at 32°C with nearby stations reaching 33–34°C, consistent with late-summer patterns where daytime heating peaks under anticyclonic conditions without significant moisture or cloud cover. Historical averages for the date hover near 30°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by persistent warm advection. The 99.5% market-implied probability aligns with this consensus, though actual readings could shift slightly if urban heat-island effects or station-specific measurements differ from the primary forecast grid. New observational data or updated model runs through the evening could still influence final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28,317結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Trader consensus on a 33°C high for Madrid on August 30, 2026, reflects near-unanimous forecasts from AEMET and other models showing clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and maxima of 32–34°C across the region.** Official guidance places Madrid capital at 32°C with nearby stations reaching 33–34°C, consistent with late-summer patterns where daytime heating peaks under anticyclonic conditions without significant moisture or cloud cover. Historical averages for the date hover near 30°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by persistent warm advection. The 99.5% market-implied probability aligns with this consensus, though actual readings could shift slightly if urban heat-island effects or station-specific measurements differ from the primary forecast grid. New observational data or updated model runs through the evening could still influence final verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions