**Forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and GFS models point to an overnight low in Helsinki near 9–11°C under persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling.** These conditions align closely with the long-term average minimum of 9.7°C for September 13 while keeping temperatures above the historical extreme of 1.2°C. Slight differences among model runs—driven by the exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts—create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 9–12°C. Traders are weighting current observational data showing afternoon readings near 15–16°C and the absence of strong high-pressure subsidence that would allow sharper overnight drops. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine the precise minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日赫爾辛基最低溫度?
9°C 32%
11°C 18%
12°C 18%
10°C 18%
$253 交易量
$253 交易量
6°C或以下
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
15%
9°C
32%
10°C
18%
11°C
18%
12°C
18%
13°C
18%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C或更高
<1%
9°C 32%
11°C 18%
12°C 18%
10°C 18%
$253 交易量
$253 交易量
6°C或以下
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
15%
9°C
32%
10°C
18%
11°C
18%
12°C
18%
13°C
18%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and GFS models point to an overnight low in Helsinki near 9–11°C under persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling.** These conditions align closely with the long-term average minimum of 9.7°C for September 13 while keeping temperatures above the historical extreme of 1.2°C. Slight differences among model runs—driven by the exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts—create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 9–12°C. Traders are weighting current observational data showing afternoon readings near 15–16°C and the absence of strong high-pressure subsidence that would allow sharper overnight drops. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine the precise minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions