**Trader consensus centers on 30–32°C as the most likely maximum for Panama City, Panama, on September 15, reflecting the city’s September climatology of 29–31°C daytime highs during the wet season.** Current model guidance and recent observations show partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and highs near 28–29°C, yet afternoon clearing or reduced rainfall could allow temperatures to reach the upper end of that range. Persistent humidity, cloud cover, and convective activity typically cap extremes below 33°C, aligning with the low 10.5% implied probability for 33°C or higher. Short-term forecast updates from regional agencies will be the key near-term driver as the 24-hour window narrows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴拿馬城9月15日的最高溫度？
巴拿馬城9月15日的最高溫度？
31°C 39%
32°C 27%
30°C 23%
33°C或以上 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
23%
31°C
39%
32°C
27%
33°C或以上
10%
31°C 39%
32°C 27%
30°C 23%
33°C或以上 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
23°C或以下
$138 交易量
<1%
24°C
$0 交易量
1%
25°C
$0 交易量
1%
26°C
$0 交易量
1%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
3%
29°C
$60 交易量
6%
30°C
$274 交易量
23%
31°C
$165 交易量
39%
32°C
$257 交易量
27%
33°C或以上
$128 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 30–32°C as the most likely maximum for Panama City, Panama, on September 15, reflecting the city’s September climatology of 29–31°C daytime highs during the wet season.** Current model guidance and recent observations show partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and highs near 28–29°C, yet afternoon clearing or reduced rainfall could allow temperatures to reach the upper end of that range. Persistent humidity, cloud cover, and convective activity typically cap extremes below 33°C, aligning with the low 10.5% implied probability for 33°C or higher. Short-term forecast updates from regional agencies will be the key near-term driver as the 24-hour window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
交易量
$1,022結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:59 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 30–32°C as the most likely maximum for Panama City, Panama, on September 15, reflecting the city’s September climatology of 29–31°C daytime highs during the wet season.** Current model guidance and recent observations show partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and highs near 28–29°C, yet afternoon clearing or reduced rainfall could allow temperatures to reach the upper end of that range. Persistent humidity, cloud cover, and convective activity typically cap extremes below 33°C, aligning with the low 10.5% implied probability for 33°C or higher. Short-term forecast updates from regional agencies will be the key near-term driver as the 24-hour window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,022結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:59 PM ET**Trader consensus centers on 30–32°C as the most likely maximum for Panama City, Panama, on September 15, reflecting the city’s September climatology of 29–31°C daytime highs during the wet season.** Current model guidance and recent observations show partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and highs near 28–29°C, yet afternoon clearing or reduced rainfall could allow temperatures to reach the upper end of that range. Persistent humidity, cloud cover, and convective activity typically cap extremes below 33°C, aligning with the low 10.5% implied probability for 33°C or higher. Short-term forecast updates from regional agencies will be the key near-term driver as the 24-hour window narrows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions