Strong high-pressure systems and clear skies over Buenos Aires have driven rapid radiational cooling overnight, with forecast models from regional meteorological services projecting the daily minimum at or below -1°C amid dry air and light winds. This aligns with the market's near-100% implied probability for that outcome, reflecting trader assessment of current observations and ensemble guidance showing temperatures already near 3–6°C during early morning hours on September 13. Historical September climatology for the region supports occasional sub-zero readings under similar synoptic patterns, though model consensus here indicates a firm cold anomaly. An unexpected increase in cloud cover or stronger northeasterly flow could limit further cooling and shift the recorded low above the threshold before midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度?
-1°C或以下 100.0%
0°C <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$1,444 交易量
$1,444 交易量
-1°C或以下
100%
0°C
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C或以上
<1%
-1°C或以下 100.0%
0°C <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$1,444 交易量
$1,444 交易量
-1°C或以下
100%
0°C
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 11, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Strong high-pressure systems and clear skies over Buenos Aires have driven rapid radiational cooling overnight, with forecast models from regional meteorological services projecting the daily minimum at or below -1°C amid dry air and light winds. This aligns with the market's near-100% implied probability for that outcome, reflecting trader assessment of current observations and ensemble guidance showing temperatures already near 3–6°C during early morning hours on September 13. Historical September climatology for the region supports occasional sub-zero readings under similar synoptic patterns, though model consensus here indicates a firm cold anomaly. An unexpected increase in cloud cover or stronger northeasterly flow could limit further cooling and shift the recorded low above the threshold before midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions