**Forecast model consensus from multiple runs points to a minimum temperature of exactly 16°C in Ankara on August 23, 2026, under clear skies and light winds typical of late-summer high-pressure conditions over the Anatolian plateau.** This aligns with climatological baselines for the region, where August overnight lows commonly range 15–18°C, and recent guidance shows tight clustering around 16°C without significant divergence among ensembles. The overwhelming market-implied odds reflect traders' confidence in official monitoring data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, which will determine resolution based on verified station readings. While rare shifts in cloud cover or localized wind patterns could introduce minor cooling or warming, the current atmospheric setup makes deviations unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日安卡拉最低溫度？
8月23日安卡拉最低溫度？
16°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$3,342 交易量
$3,342 交易量
2026-08-23
15°C或以下
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
16°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$3,342 交易量
$3,342 交易量
2026-08-23
15°C或以下
$187 交易量
否
16°C
$258 交易量
是
17°C
$511 交易量
否
18°C
$594 交易量
否
19°C
$393 交易量
否
20°C
$389 交易量
否
21°C
$254 交易量
否
22°C
$194 交易量
否
23°C
$194 交易量
否
24°C
$184 交易量
否
25°C或以上
$184 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus from multiple runs points to a minimum temperature of exactly 16°C in Ankara on August 23, 2026, under clear skies and light winds typical of late-summer high-pressure conditions over the Anatolian plateau.** This aligns with climatological baselines for the region, where August overnight lows commonly range 15–18°C, and recent guidance shows tight clustering around 16°C without significant divergence among ensembles. The overwhelming market-implied odds reflect traders' confidence in official monitoring data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, which will determine resolution based on verified station readings. While rare shifts in cloud cover or localized wind patterns could introduce minor cooling or warming, the current atmospheric setup makes deviations unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$3,342結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus from multiple runs points to a minimum temperature of exactly 16°C in Ankara on August 23, 2026, under clear skies and light winds typical of late-summer high-pressure conditions over the Anatolian plateau.** This aligns with climatological baselines for the region, where August overnight lows commonly range 15–18°C, and recent guidance shows tight clustering around 16°C without significant divergence among ensembles. The overwhelming market-implied odds reflect traders' confidence in official monitoring data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, which will determine resolution based on verified station readings. While rare shifts in cloud cover or localized wind patterns could introduce minor cooling or warming, the current atmospheric setup makes deviations unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,342結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Forecast model consensus from multiple runs points to a minimum temperature of exactly 16°C in Ankara on August 23, 2026, under clear skies and light winds typical of late-summer high-pressure conditions over the Anatolian plateau.** This aligns with climatological baselines for the region, where August overnight lows commonly range 15–18°C, and recent guidance shows tight clustering around 16°C without significant divergence among ensembles. The overwhelming market-implied odds reflect traders' confidence in official monitoring data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, which will determine resolution based on verified station readings. While rare shifts in cloud cover or localized wind patterns could introduce minor cooling or warming, the current atmospheric setup makes deviations unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions