Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to an overnight low of 16–18°C in Ankara on August 24, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds between “17°C or below” (45%) and “18°C” (33.5%). Clear skies, light northeasterly winds of 2–6 m/s, and dry air beneath stable high pressure promote strong radiative cooling after sunset, a process that historically produces the month’s typical minimum near 17°C. Model consensus remains high, yet small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could alter the final reading by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against official verification criteria, with upcoming local observations likely to resolve the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日安卡拉最低溫度?
17°C或以下 45%
18°C 34%
19°C 25%
22°C 3%
17°C或以下
45%
18°C
34%
19°C
25%
20°C
3%
21°C
-
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C或更高
1%
17°C或以下 45%
18°C 34%
19°C 25%
22°C 3%
17°C或以下
45%
18°C
34%
19°C
25%
20°C
3%
21°C
-
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to an overnight low of 16–18°C in Ankara on August 24, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds between “17°C or below” (45%) and “18°C” (33.5%). Clear skies, light northeasterly winds of 2–6 m/s, and dry air beneath stable high pressure promote strong radiative cooling after sunset, a process that historically produces the month’s typical minimum near 17°C. Model consensus remains high, yet small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could alter the final reading by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against official verification criteria, with upcoming local observations likely to resolve the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions