Incumbent Democratic Rep. Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding position in the IL-13 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in recent election margins of 15–16 points and its D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index rating. Primary results showed Budzinski easily advancing after defeating a challenger, while Republicans nominated Jeff Wilson following a low-profile primary. The seat’s configuration in Illinois’s map, combined with Budzinski’s established incumbency advantages and fundraising edge, has produced broad trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Factors that could still shift probabilities include late-breaking scandals, significant health developments for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural tilt.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$14,839 交易量
$14,839 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$14,839 交易量
$14,839 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
$8,103 交易量
95%
Republican Party
$6,736 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding position in the IL-13 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in recent election margins of 15–16 points and its D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index rating. Primary results showed Budzinski easily advancing after defeating a challenger, while Republicans nominated Jeff Wilson following a low-profile primary. The seat’s configuration in Illinois’s map, combined with Budzinski’s established incumbency advantages and fundraising edge, has produced broad trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Factors that could still shift probabilities include late-breaking scandals, significant health developments for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$14,839結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding position in the IL-13 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in recent election margins of 15–16 points and its D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index rating. Primary results showed Budzinski easily advancing after defeating a challenger, while Republicans nominated Jeff Wilson following a low-profile primary. The seat’s configuration in Illinois’s map, combined with Budzinski’s established incumbency advantages and fundraising edge, has produced broad trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Factors that could still shift probabilities include late-breaking scandals, significant health developments for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,839結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding position in the IL-13 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in recent election margins of 15–16 points and its D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index rating. Primary results showed Budzinski easily advancing after defeating a challenger, while Republicans nominated Jeff Wilson following a low-profile primary. The seat’s configuration in Illinois’s map, combined with Budzinski’s established incumbency advantages and fundraising edge, has produced broad trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Factors that could still shift probabilities include late-breaking scandals, significant health developments for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural tilt.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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