United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election holding roughly 310 of 450 seats after vacancies from its 324-seat 2021 result. Kremlin-aligned administrative resources, media dominance, favorable ballot positioning, and a mixed electoral system with a 5% threshold position the party to secure another large majority. Recent primaries produced candidate turnover in key regions, while the June party congress featured Putin’s endorsement and a slate emphasizing foreign policy and military figures. State polls from VTsIOM and FOM show United Russia at 42–52% amid stable but modest support levels, with systemic opposition parties trailing. Traders assign the highest probability to the 325–339 seat range, reflecting expectations that single-member district performance and procedural advantages will deliver modest net gains despite stagnant ratings and limited genuine competition. The vote occurs in three days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於325–339 44%
340–354 25%
310–324 18.0%
355+ 7%
$656,635 交易量
$656,635 交易量
2026-09-19
少於280
2%
280–294
1%
295–309
4%
310–324
18%
325–339
44%
340–354
25%
355+
7%
325–339 44%
340–354 25%
310–324 18.0%
355+ 7%
$656,635 交易量
$656,635 交易量
2026-09-19
少於280
$240,980 交易量
2%
280–294
$50,891 交易量
1%
295–309
$44,231 交易量
4%
310–324
$93,062 交易量
18%
325–339
$71,013 交易量
44%
340–354
$78,264 交易量
25%
355+
$78,194 交易量
7%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election holding roughly 310 of 450 seats after vacancies from its 324-seat 2021 result. Kremlin-aligned administrative resources, media dominance, favorable ballot positioning, and a mixed electoral system with a 5% threshold position the party to secure another large majority. Recent primaries produced candidate turnover in key regions, while the June party congress featured Putin’s endorsement and a slate emphasizing foreign policy and military figures. State polls from VTsIOM and FOM show United Russia at 42–52% amid stable but modest support levels, with systemic opposition parties trailing. Traders assign the highest probability to the 325–339 seat range, reflecting expectations that single-member district performance and procedural advantages will deliver modest net gains despite stagnant ratings and limited genuine competition. The vote occurs in three days.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市場開放時間： Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
交易量
$656,635結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETLegislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election holding roughly 310 of 450 seats after vacancies from its 324-seat 2021 result. Kremlin-aligned administrative resources, media dominance, favorable ballot positioning, and a mixed electoral system with a 5% threshold position the party to secure another large majority. Recent primaries produced candidate turnover in key regions, while the June party congress featured Putin’s endorsement and a slate emphasizing foreign policy and military figures. State polls from VTsIOM and FOM show United Russia at 42–52% amid stable but modest support levels, with systemic opposition parties trailing. Traders assign the highest probability to the 325–339 seat range, reflecting expectations that single-member district performance and procedural advantages will deliver modest net gains despite stagnant ratings and limited genuine competition. The vote occurs in three days.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$656,635結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETUnited Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election holding roughly 310 of 450 seats after vacancies from its 324-seat 2021 result. Kremlin-aligned administrative resources, media dominance, favorable ballot positioning, and a mixed electoral system with a 5% threshold position the party to secure another large majority. Recent primaries produced candidate turnover in key regions, while the June party congress featured Putin’s endorsement and a slate emphasizing foreign policy and military figures. State polls from VTsIOM and FOM show United Russia at 42–52% amid stable but modest support levels, with systemic opposition parties trailing. Traders assign the highest probability to the 325–339 seat range, reflecting expectations that single-member district performance and procedural advantages will deliver modest net gains despite stagnant ratings and limited genuine competition. The vote occurs in three days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions