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icon for Ongo Niua 17補選獲勝者
世界·東加

Ongo Niua 17補選獲勝者

icon for Ongo Niua 17補選獲勝者
世界·東加

Ongo Niua 17補選獲勝者

『Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 55%

Sitiveni Selui 47%

‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau 32%

Sione Tuifio Hui 30%

Polymarket
最新

『Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 55%

Sitiveni Selui 47%

‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau 32%

Sione Tuifio Hui 30%

Polymarket
最新

『Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana

$20 交易量

55%

Sitiveni Selui

$20 交易量

47%

‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau

$20 交易量

32%

Sione Tuifio Hui

$20 交易量

30%

Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala

$20 交易量

21%

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).Five candidates are contesting the Ongo Niua 17 by-election on 8 October following the Supreme Court’s bribery conviction and unseating of the 2025 winner, former Finance Minister Lataifaingata’a Tangimana. The fragmented field includes Sitiveni Selui, ‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, Sione Tuifio Hui, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, and ‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana, each drawing support from different villages across the small Niuas constituency. Trader consensus reflects the resulting uncertainty, with no candidate establishing a clear lead. Village-level loyalties, family connections, and limited campaigning time before polling keep probabilities closely matched. Any late endorsements, turnout differences among outer-island communities, or shifts in local alliances could widen gaps ahead of the vote.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
交易量
$100
結束日期
2026-10-08
市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).Five candidates are contesting the Ongo Niua 17 by-election on 8 October following the Supreme Court’s bribery conviction and unseating of the 2025 winner, former Finance Minister Lataifaingata’a Tangimana. The fragmented field includes Sitiveni Selui, ‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, Sione Tuifio Hui, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, and ‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana, each drawing support from different villages across the small Niuas constituency. Trader consensus reflects the resulting uncertainty, with no candidate establishing a clear lead. Village-level loyalties, family connections, and limited campaigning time before polling keep probabilities closely matched. Any late endorsements, turnout differences among outer-island communities, or shifts in local alliances could widen gaps ahead of the vote.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
交易量
$100
結束日期
2026-10-08
市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Ongo Niua 17補選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "『Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana" at 55%, followed by "Sitiveni Selui" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Ongo Niua 17補選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Ongo Niua 17補選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ongo Niua 17補選獲勝者" is "『Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sitiveni Selui" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ongo Niua 17補選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.